Mavericks vs. Thunder Picks & Best Bets 17th Nov 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action on Sunday at Paycom Center, beginning at 7:00 p.m. ET.
The Thunder will be led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Luguentz Dort, while the Mavericks have Kyrie Irving, Klay Thompson and Jaden Hardy.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NBA matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Mavericks vs. Thunder bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Thunder will likely beat the Mavericks with a projected final score of 116-109.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mavericks vs. Thunder picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycom Center
- Spread: Mavericks +7.5 / Thunder -7.5
- Moneyline: Mavericks +245 / Thunder -285
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 226.5 Points (-105/-115)
Mavericks +7.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Mavericks have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Thunder have a probability of 46%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -110 for the Mavericks +7.5, presenting a favorable 1.7% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 226.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 226.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance of the 226.5-point total going over, which presents better value compared to betting on the under.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Dallas Mavericks at +245 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Oklahoma City Thunder are available at -285 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Thunder are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 71% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Thunder are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +245 odds on the Mavericks moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mavericks vs. Thunder
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Sunday's Mavericks vs. Thunder matchup.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving | 22 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Klay Thompson | 16 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Jaden Hardy | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Quentin Grimes | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Dereck Lively | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Kyrie Irving Under 6.5 Assists (-102)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving Under 6.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -102 |
- Our top prop bet for the Mavericks is on Kyrie Irving to record under 6.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 8.0% on the -102 odds offered by FanDuel.
Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 26 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
| Jalen Williams | 18 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Luguentz Dort | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Isaiah Joe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 31.5 Points Scored (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 31.5 Points Scored | BetMGM | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Thunder is on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to score under 31.5 points.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 26 points, giving us an edge of 8.5% on the -110 odds offered by BetMGM.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Mavericks vs. Thunder trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Jalen Williams Over 1.5 Total Steals
Jalen Williams has recorded more than 1.5 steals in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80% success rate). You can bet on him to record 2+ steals again at odds of +105 (49% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Luguentz Dort Over 0.5 Total Blocks
Luguentz Dort has recorded at least one block in 6 of his last 10 games (60%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of +120 (45%), also available at Bet365.
Jalen Williams Over 6.5 Total Rebounds
Jalen Williams has had more than 6.5 rebounds in 7 of his last 12 games (58%). You can wager on him to record over 6.5 rebounds again at odds of +112 (47%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander of the Thunder to record under 31.5 points scored, with an edge of 8.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Mavericks +7.5 to cover.
In addition to our Mavericks vs. Thunder predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds and insightful NBA predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NBA bets and dive into our NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online NBA betting sites.
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