Mavericks vs. Nuggets Picks & Best Bets 22nd Nov 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Denver Nuggets will meet the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action on Friday at Ball Arena, starting at 10:00 p.m. ET.
Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter are expected to lead the way for the Nuggets, while the Mavericks will rely on Kyrie Irving, Klay Thompson and Jaden Hardy.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Friday's NBA matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Mavericks vs. Nuggets bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Nuggets will likely defeat the Mavericks with a projected final score of 116-111.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Mavericks vs. Nuggets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mavericks vs. Nuggets picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, November 22nd, 2024
- Game Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Ball Arena
- Spread: Mavericks +4.5 / Nuggets -4.5
- Moneyline: Mavericks +170 / Nuggets -190
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 229 Points (-110/-108)
Mavericks +4.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, both the Mavericks and Nuggets have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Mavericks +4.5 because of BetMGM's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Under 229 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 229, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance that the total will stay under 229 points.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Dallas Mavericks at +170 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Denver Nuggets are available at -190 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Nuggets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 67% chance of prevailing.
Additionally, the Nuggets present the best betting value, with the odds of -190 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 1.9%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mavericks vs. Nuggets
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Friday's Mavericks vs. Nuggets game.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving | 18 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Klay Thompson | 16 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Jaden Hardy | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Daniel Gafford | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| P.J. Washington | 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Kyrie Irving Under 6.5 Assists (+116)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving Under 6.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +116 |
- Our top prop bet for the Mavericks is on Kyrie Irving to record under 6.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 12.9% on the +116 odds offered by FanDuel.
Denver Nuggets Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 25 | 10 | 9 | 2 |
| Jamal Murray | 22 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Michael Porter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| Russell Westbrook | 12 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Christian Braun | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
Nikola Jokic Under 12.5 Rebounds (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic Under 12.5 Rebounds | BetMGM | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Nuggets is on Nikola Jokic to record under 12.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 10 rebounds, giving us an edge of 9.9% on the -110 odds offered by BetMGM.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Mavericks vs. Nuggets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Russell Westbrook Over 4.5 Total Assists
Russell Westbrook has recorded more than 4.5 assists in 10 of his last 13 games (77% of the time). You can put money on him to go over 4.5 assists again at odds of -120 (55% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Russell Westbrook Over 0.5 Total Blocks
Russell Westbrook has recorded at least one block in 7 of his last 13 games (54%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of +155 (39%), available at Bet365.
Jamal Murray Over 1.5 Total Steals
Jamal Murray has had more than 1.5 steals in 5 of his last 10 games (50%). You can wager on him to record over 1.5 steals again at odds of +185 (35%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kyrie Irving of the Mavericks to record under 6.5 assists, with an edge of 12.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Mavericks +4.5 to cover.
In addition to our Mavericks vs. Nuggets predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA betting odds and insightful NBA predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NBA bets and dive into our NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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