Mavericks vs. Nuggets Picks & Best Bets 10th Nov 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Denver Nuggets will take on the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action on Sunday at Ball Arena, starting at 8:00 p.m. ET.
The Nuggets will be led by Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter, while the Mavericks have Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and Klay Thompson.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NBA matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Mavericks vs. Nuggets bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Nuggets will likely beat the Mavericks with a projected final score of 116-115.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Mavericks vs. Nuggets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mavericks vs. Nuggets picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 10th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Ball Arena
- Spread: Mavericks +2 / Nuggets -2
- Moneyline: Mavericks +116 / Nuggets -125
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 233 Points (-112/-108)
Mavericks +2 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Mavericks have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Nuggets have a probability of 48%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -105 for the Mavericks +2, providing a favorable 1% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 233 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 233 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis shows a 52% chance of the 233-point total staying under, providing an edge of 0.4%.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Dallas Mavericks at +116 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Denver Nuggets are available at -125 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Nuggets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 57% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Nuggets present the best betting value, with the odds of -125 available at DraftKings Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 1.1%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mavericks vs. Nuggets
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Sunday's Mavericks vs. Nuggets game.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 25 | 9 | 9 | 3 |
| Kyrie Irving | 19 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Klay Thompson | 18 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Daniel Gafford | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Naji Marshall | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Luka Doncic Under 30.5 Points Scored (-112)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic Under 30.5 Points Scored | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -112 |
- Our top prop bet for the Mavericks is on Luka Doncic to score under 30.5 points.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 25 points, giving us an edge of 8.6% on the -112 odds offered by FanDuel.
Denver Nuggets Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 26 | 11 | 9 | 2 |
| Jamal Murray | 21 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Michael Porter | 18 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| Russell Westbrook | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Christian Braun | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
Jamal Murray Over 3.5 Rebounds (+108)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray Over 3.5 Rebounds | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +108 |
- Our best prop bet for the Nuggets is on Jamal Murray to record over 3.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 rebounds, giving us an edge of 10.6% on the +108 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Mavericks vs. Nuggets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Russell Westbrook Over 0.5 Total Blocks
Russell Westbrook has recorded at least one block in 7 of his last 14 appearances (50% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +200 (33% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Christian Braun Over 0.5 Total Blocks
Christian Braun has recorded at least one block in 9 of his last 15 appearances (60%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of +128 (44%), also available at Bet365.
Michael Porter Jr. Over 1.5 Total Assists
Michael Porter Jr. has had more than 1.5 assists in 9 of his last 11 appearances (82%). You can bet on him to record over 1.5 assists again at odds of -148 (60%), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jamal Murray of the Nuggets to record over 3.5 rebounds, with a projection of 5 rebounds marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Mavericks +2 to cover.
In addition to our Mavericks vs. Nuggets predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds tonight and insightful NBA expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NBA bets today and dive into Mark Schindler's NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NBA betting sites.
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