Mavericks vs. Heat Picks & Best Bets 24th Nov 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Miami Heat will face the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action on Sunday at Kaseya Center, starting at 6:00 p.m. ET.
Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo are expected to lead the way for the Heat, while the Mavericks are headlined by Kyrie Irving, Klay Thompson and P.J. Washington.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NBA matchup using advanced AI technology to highlight the best Mavericks vs. Heat bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Heat will likely defeat the Mavericks with a projected final score of 111-108.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Mavericks vs. Heat Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mavericks vs. Heat picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to generate NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Mavericks vs. Heat Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 24th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Kaseya Center
- Spread: Mavericks +2.5 / Heat -2.5
- Moneyline: Mavericks +122 / Heat -135
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 221.5 Points (-108/-110)
Heat -2.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Heat have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Mavericks have a probability of 49%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -105.
Total Points Under 221.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 221.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis suggests a slightly higher probability that the total will stay under 221.5 points.
Mavericks vs. Heat Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Dallas Mavericks at +122 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Miami Heat are available at -135 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Heat are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of victory.
Additionally, the Heat present the best betting value, with the odds of -135 available at DraftKings Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 2.5%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mavericks vs. Heat
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Sunday's Mavericks vs. Heat matchup.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving | 21 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Klay Thompson | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| P.J. Washington | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Daniel Gafford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Naji Marshall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Kyrie Irving Under 6.5 Assists (+116)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving Under 6.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +116 |
- Our top prop bet for the Mavericks is on Kyrie Irving to record under 6.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 10.3% on the +116 odds offered by FanDuel.
Miami Heat Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 20 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| Jimmy Butler | 19 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 18 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| Duncan Robinson | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Haywood Highsmith | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Bam Adebayo Under 10.5 Rebounds (+105)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo Under 10.5 Rebounds | BetMGM | Get Offer | +105 |
- Our best prop bet for the Heat is on Bam Adebayo to record under 10.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 9 rebounds, giving us an edge of 9.4% on the +105 odds offered by BetMGM.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mavericks vs. Heat Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Mavericks vs. Heat trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Daniel Gafford Over 10.5 Points Scored
Daniel Gafford has scored more than 10.5 points in 9 of his last 11 games (82% success rate). You can bet on him to score 11+ points again at odds of +100 (50% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Tyler Herro Over 2.5 Total Turnovers
Tyler Herro has had more than 2.5 turnovers in 14 of his last 24 appearances (58%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 2.5 turnovers again at odds of +130 (43%), available at Bet365.
Tyler Herro Over 4.5 Total Rebounds
Tyler Herro has had more than 4.5 rebounds in 9 of his last 13 appearances (69%). You can wager on him to record over 4.5 rebounds again at odds of -118 (54%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kyrie Irving of the Mavericks to record under 6.5 assists, with an edge of 10.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Heat -2.5 to cover.
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