Kings vs. Warriors Picks & Best Bets 5th Jan 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds

The Golden State Warriors will meet the Sacramento Kings in NBA action on Sunday at Chase Center, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Stephen Curry, Andrew Wiggins and Dennis Schroder are expected to lead the way for the Warriors, while the Kings have DeMar DeRozan, Domantas Sabonis and Malik Monk.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NBA matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Kings vs. Warriors bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Warriors will likely defeat the Kings with a projected final score of 114-110.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Kings vs. Warriors Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Kings vs. Warriors picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Kings vs. Warriors Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, January 5th, 2025
- Game Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center
- Spread: Kings +3.5 / Warriors -3.5
- Moneyline: Kings +135 / Warriors -154
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 225.5 Points (-105/-115)
Warriors -3.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Warriors have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Kings have a probability of 48%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -105.
Total Points Over 225.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 225.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% probability of the 225.5-point total going over.
Kings vs. Warriors Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Sacramento Kings at +135 via BetMGM, whilst the Golden State Warriors are available at -154 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Warriors are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 64% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Warriors also present the best betting value, with the odds of -154 available at FanDuel Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 3.2%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Kings vs. Warriors
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Sunday's Kings vs. Warriors game.
Sacramento Kings Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
DeMar DeRozan | 23 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Domantas Sabonis | 22 | 14 | 8 | 1 |
Malik Monk | 20 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Keegan Murray | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
Keon Ellis | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Domantas Sabonis Over 6.5 Assists (+118)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Domantas Sabonis Over 6.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +118 |
- Our top prop bet for the Kings is on Domantas Sabonis to record over 6.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 8 assists, giving us an edge of 11.7% on the +118 odds offered by FanDuel.
Golden State Warriors Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Stephen Curry | 24 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Andrew Wiggins | 18 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Dennis Schroder | 15 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Trayce Jackson-Davis | 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
Buddy Hield | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Andrew Wiggins Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+140)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Andrew Wiggins Over 2.5 3-Pointers | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +140 |
- Our best prop bet for the Warriors is on Andrew Wiggins to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 11.7% on the +140 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Kings vs. Warriors Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Kings vs. Warriors trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Draymond Green Over 2.5 Total Turnovers
Draymond Green has recorded more than 2.5 turnovers in 11 of his last 18 appearances (61% of the time). You can put money on him to record 3+ turnovers again at odds of +120 (45% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Draymond Green Over 5.5 Total Assists
Draymond Green has had more than 5.5 assists in 15 of his last 22 appearances (68%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 5.5 assists again at odds of +114 (47%), available at FanDuel.
Trayce Jackson-Davis Over 8.5 Total Rebounds
Trayce Jackson-Davis has had more than 8.5 rebounds in 6 of his last 10 appearances (60%). You can wager on him to record over 8.5 rebounds again at odds of +112 (47%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Domantas Sabonis of the Kings to record over 6.5 assists, with a projection of 8 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Warriors -3.5 to cover.
In addition to our Kings vs. Warriors predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds and insightful NBA expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NBA bets and dive into our NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.