Kings vs. Spurs Picks & Best Bets 11th Nov 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The San Antonio Spurs will host the Sacramento Kings in NBA action on Monday at Frost Bank Center, beginning at 8:00 p.m. ET.
The Spurs will be led by Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson and Devin Vassell, while the Kings are headlined by De'Aaron Fox, DeMar DeRozan and Domantas Sabonis.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Monday's NBA matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Kings vs. Spurs bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Kings will likely beat the Spurs with a projected final score of 111-109.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Kings vs. Spurs Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Kings vs. Spurs picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Kings vs. Spurs Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, November 11th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Frost Bank Center
- Spread: Kings -2.5 / Spurs +2.5
- Moneyline: Kings -142 / Spurs +124
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 222.5 Points (-108/-110)
Spurs +2.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Kings and Spurs have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Spurs +2.5 because of DraftKings Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -108.
Total Points Under 222.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 222.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis suggests a 52% likelihood that the total will stay under 222.5 points.
Kings vs. Spurs Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Sacramento Kings at -142 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the San Antonio Spurs are available at +124 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Kings are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 59% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Kings also present the best betting value, with the odds of -142 available at DraftKings Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 0.1%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Kings vs. Spurs
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Monday's Kings vs. Spurs matchup.
Sacramento Kings Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | 28 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 28 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Domantas Sabonis | 19 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| Kevin Huerter | 13 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Keegan Murray | 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
DeMar DeRozan Over 4.5 Assists (+155)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan Over 4.5 Assists | BetMGM | Get Offer | +155 |
- Our top prop bet for the Kings is on DeMar DeRozan to record over 4.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 7 assists, giving us an edge of 23.9% on the +155 odds offered by BetMGM.
San Antonio Spurs Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 26 | 11 | 5 | 2 |
| Keldon Johnson | 17 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Devin Vassell | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Harrison Barnes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Julian Champagnie | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Victor Wembanyama Over 3.5 Assists (+126)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama Over 3.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +126 |
- Our best prop bet for the Spurs is on Victor Wembanyama to record over 3.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 16.9% on the +126 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Kings vs. Spurs Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Kings vs. Spurs trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Keon Ellis Over 1.5 Total Steals
Keon Ellis has recorded more than 1.5 steals in 6 of his last 11 appearances (55% of the time). You can wager on him to record 2+ steals again at odds of +180 (36% implied probability), available at Bet365.
DeMar DeRozan Over 23.5 Points Scored
DeMar DeRozan has scored more than 23.5 points in 15 of his last 22 games (68%). You can place a bet on him to have over 23.5 points again at odds of +100 (50%), available at FanDuel.
De'Aaron Fox Over 4.5 Total Rebounds
De'Aaron Fox has had more than 4.5 rebounds in 8 of his last 11 appearances (73%). You can wager on him to record over 4.5 rebounds again at odds of -118 (54%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing DeMar DeRozan of the Kings to record over 4.5 assists, with a projection of 7 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Spurs +2.5 to cover.
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