Kings vs. Heat Picks & Best Bets 4th Nov 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Miami Heat will go up against the Sacramento Kings in NBA action on Monday at Kaseya Center, beginning at 8:15 p.m. ET.
Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and Terry Rozier are expected to lead the way for the Heat, while the Kings have De'Aaron Fox, DeMar DeRozan and Malik Monk.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Monday's NBA matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Kings vs. Heat bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Heat will likely win with a projected final score of 113-111.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Kings vs. Heat Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Kings vs. Heat picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Kings vs. Heat Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, November 4th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Kaseya Center
- Spread: Kings +2.5 / Heat -2.5
- Moneyline: Kings +110 / Heat -130
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 226.5 Points (-105/-110)
Heat -2.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Heat have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Kings have a probability of 49%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -105.
Total Points Over 226.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 226.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher probability that the total will go over 226.5 points, which presents better value compared to betting on the under.
Kings vs. Heat Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Sacramento Kings at +110 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Miami Heat are available at -130 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Heat are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 55% chance of prevailing.
Additionally, the Heat present the best betting value, with the odds of -130 available at BetMGM for an edge of 1.9%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Kings vs. Heat
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Monday's Kings vs. Heat game.
Sacramento Kings Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | 24 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 22 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| Malik Monk | 19 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| Domantas Sabonis | 17 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| Keegan Murray | 17 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
Domantas Sabonis Over 6.5 Assists (+115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis Over 6.5 Assists | BetMGM | Get Offer | +115 |
- Our top prop bet for the Kings is on Domantas Sabonis to record over 6.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 9 assists, giving us an edge of 17.5% on the +115 odds offered by BetMGM.
Miami Heat Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 21 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| Tyler Herro | 20 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Terry Rozier | 17 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Bam Adebayo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| Alec Burks | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Terry Rozier Over 4.5 Assists (+126)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier Over 4.5 Assists | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +126 |
- Our best prop bet for the Heat is on Terry Rozier to record over 4.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 7.1% on the +126 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Kings vs. Heat Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Kings vs. Heat trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Nikola Jovic Over 4.5 Total Rebounds
Nikola Jovic has recorded more than 4.5 rebounds in 14 of his last 19 appearances (74% success rate). You can put money on him to go over 4.5 rebounds again at odds of +104 (49% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Domantas Sabonis Over 16.5 Points Scored
Domantas Sabonis has scored more than 16.5 points in 12 of his last 17 appearances (71%). You can make a bet that he'll have over 16.5 points again at odds of -108 (52%), also available at FanDuel.
De'Aaron Fox Over 22.5 Points Scored
De'Aaron Fox has scored more than 22.5 points in 17 of his last 22 games (77%). You can wager on him to record over 22.5 points again at odds of -128 (56%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Domantas Sabonis of the Kings to record over 6.5 assists, with a projection of 9 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Heat -2.5 to cover.
In addition to our Kings vs. Heat predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds tonight and insightful NBA computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NBA bets and dive into NBA sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NBA betting sites.
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