Jazz vs. Heat Picks & Best Bets 4th Jan 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Miami Heat will host the Utah Jazz in NBA action on Saturday at Kaseya Center, tipping off at 8:00 p.m. ET.
Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Terry Rozier are set to lead the way for the Heat, while the Jazz have Lauri Markkanen, Collin Sexton and John Collins.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NBA matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to identify the best Jazz vs. Heat bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Heat will likely win with a projected final score of 115-108.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Jazz vs. Heat Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Jazz vs. Heat picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Jazz vs. Heat Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, January 4th, 2025
- Game Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Kaseya Center
- Spread: Jazz +8.5 / Heat -8.5
- Moneyline: Jazz +290 / Heat -345
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 225 Points (-114/-106)
Jazz +8.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Jazz have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Heat have a probability of 46%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -105 for the Jazz +8.5, providing a favorable 3.2% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 225 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 225 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -106.
- Our analysis suggests a 52% probability of the 225-point total staying under, providing an edge of 0.2%.
Jazz vs. Heat Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Utah Jazz at +290 via BetMGM, whilst the Miami Heat are available at -345 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Heat are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 74% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Heat are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +290 odds on the Jazz moneyline, providing an edge of 0.8%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Jazz vs. Heat
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Saturday's Jazz vs. Heat matchup.
Utah Jazz Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen | 20 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| Collin Sexton | 17 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| John Collins | 17 | 9 | 2 | 2 |
| Keyonte George | 16 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Jordan Clarkson | 16 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
Collin Sexton Over 4.5 Assists (+136)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton Over 4.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +136 |
- Our top prop bet for the Jazz is on Collin Sexton to record over 4.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 8.7% on the +136 odds offered by FanDuel.
Miami Heat Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Bam Adebayo | 19 | 9 | 6 | 1 |
| Terry Rozier | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Duncan Robinson | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Nikola Jovic | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Tyler Herro Over 3.5 3-Pointers (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro Over 3.5 3-Pointers | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Heat is on Tyler Herro to record over 3.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 6.4% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Jazz vs. Heat Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Jazz vs. Heat trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Keyonte George Over 2.5 Total Turnovers
Keyonte George has recorded more than 2.5 turnovers in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80% success rate). You can wager on him to go over 2.5 turnovers again at odds of +105 (49% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Collin Sexton Over 15.5 Points Scored
Collin Sexton has scored more than 15.5 points in 9 of his last 12 appearances (75%). You can make a bet that he'll score 16 or more points again at odds of -110 (52%), available at FanDuel.
Walker Kessler Over 1.5 Total Turnovers
Walker Kessler has had more than 1.5 turnovers in 7 of his last 11 appearances (64%). You can bet on him to record over 1.5 turnovers again at odds of +145 (41%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Collin Sexton of the Jazz to record over 4.5 assists, with a projection of 5 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Jazz +8.5 to cover.
In addition to our Jazz vs. Heat predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds and insightful NBA predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NBA bets tonight and dive into Mark Schindler's NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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