Heat vs. Warriors Picks & Best Bets 7th Jan 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Golden State Warriors will take on the Miami Heat in NBA action on Tuesday at Chase Center, beginning at 10:00 p.m. ET.
Stephen Curry, Andrew Wiggins and Dennis Schroder are set to lead the way for the Warriors, while the Heat are headlined by Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Terry Rozier.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's NBA matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Heat vs. Warriors bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Warriors will likely win with a projected final score of 112-104.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Heat vs. Warriors Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Heat vs. Warriors picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Heat vs. Warriors Game Information
- Game Date: Tuesday, January 7th, 2025
- Game Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center
- Spread: Heat +9 / Warriors -9
- Moneyline: Heat +310 / Warriors -375
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 216 Points (-110/-110)
Heat +9 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Heat have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Warriors have a probability of 46%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -110 for the Heat +9, presenting a favorable 1.4% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 216 @ -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 216, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis suggests a 51% likelihood of the 216-point total going over.
Heat vs. Warriors Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Heat at +310 via BetMGM, whilst the Golden State Warriors are available at -375 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Warriors are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 76% chance of prevailing.
Although the Warriors are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +310 odds on the Heat moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Heat vs. Warriors
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Tuesday's Heat vs. Warriors game.
Miami Heat Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 24 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Bam Adebayo | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 |
| Terry Rozier | 14 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Nikola Jovic | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+135)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 3-Pointers | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +135 |
- Our top prop bet for the Heat is on Duncan Robinson to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 11.0% on the +135 odds offered by DraftKings.
Golden State Warriors Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 22 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 20 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Dennis Schroder | 13 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Buddy Hield | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Moses Moody | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Buddy Hield Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+135)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield Over 2.5 3-Pointers | BetMGM | Get Offer | +135 |
- Our best prop bet for the Warriors is on Buddy Hield to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 10.7% on the +135 odds offered by BetMGM.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Heat vs. Warriors Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Heat vs. Warriors trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Terry Rozier Over 4.5 Total Rebounds
Terry Rozier has recorded more than 4.5 rebounds in 8 of his last 11 games (73% success rate). You can bet on him to record 5+ rebounds again at odds of +136 (42% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Haywood Highsmith Over 0.5 Total Turnovers
Haywood Highsmith has recorded at least one turnover in 11 of his last 13 appearances (85%). You can place a wager on him to get another one at odds of -240 (71%), available at Bet365.
Buddy Hield Over 0.5 Total Turnovers
Buddy Hield has recorded at least one turnover in 14 of his last 16 games (88%). You can wager on him to record at least one more again at odds of -220 (69%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Duncan Robinson of the Heat to put up over 2.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 3 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Heat +9 to cover.
Beyond our Heat vs. Warriors predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA betting odds and insightful NBA expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the NBA best bets today and dive into Mark Schindler's NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online NBA betting sites.
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