Heat vs. Thunder Picks & Best Bets 12th Feb 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Oklahoma City Thunder will go up against the Miami Heat in NBA action on Wednesday at Paycom Center, tipping off at 8:00 p.m. ET.
The Thunder will be led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Aaron Wiggins, while the Heat have Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins and Bam Adebayo.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's NBA matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Heat vs. Thunder bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Thunder will likely win with a projected final score of 117-105.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Heat vs. Thunder Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Heat vs. Thunder picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Heat vs. Thunder Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, February 12th, 2025
- Game Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycom Center
- Spread: Heat +14 / Thunder -14
- Moneyline: Heat +625 / Thunder -900
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 222 Points (-105/-115)
Heat +14 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Heat have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Thunder have a probability of 44%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -108 for the Heat +14, presenting a favorable 4.2% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 222 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 222, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% probability that the total will go over 222 points, providing an edge of 0.2%.
Heat vs. Thunder Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Heat at +625 via BetMGM, whilst the Oklahoma City Thunder are available at -900 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Thunder are heavily favored to win this game, with our projections giving them an 85% chance of coming out on top.
Although the Thunder are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +625 odds on the Heat moneyline, providing an edge of 1.2%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Heat vs. Thunder
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Wednesday's Heat vs. Thunder matchup.
Miami Heat Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 24 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 18 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Bam Adebayo | 15 | 10 | 5 | 1 |
| Alec Burks | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Kel'el Ware | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
Tyler Herro Over 3.5 3-Pointers (+120)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro Over 3.5 3-Pointers | BetMGM | Get Offer | +120 |
- Our top prop bet for the Heat is on Tyler Herro to record over 3.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 8.6% on the +120 odds offered by BetMGM.
Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 33 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Jalen Williams | 22 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 10 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| Isaiah Joe | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Jalen Williams Over 5.5 Assists (+134)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams Over 5.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +134 |
- Our best prop bet for the Thunder is on Jalen Williams to record over 5.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 6 assists, giving us an edge of 10.8% on the +134 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Heat vs. Thunder Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Heat vs. Thunder trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 11.5 Total Rebounds
Isaiah Hartenstein has recorded more than 11.5 rebounds in 8 of his last 10 games (80% success rate). You can bet on him to go over 11.5 rebounds again at odds of -122 (55% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Alex Caruso Over 1.5 Total Steals
Alex Caruso has had more than 1.5 steals in 15 of his last 22 games (68%). You can place a bet on him to record over 1.5 steals again at odds of +102 (50%), also available at FanDuel.
Isaiah Joe Over 9.5 Points Scored
Isaiah Joe has scored more than 9.5 points in 8 of his last 11 appearances (73%). You can wager on him to record over 9.5 points again at odds of -104 (51%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jalen Williams of the Thunder to record over 5.5 assists, with a projection of 6 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Heat +14 to cover.
In addition to our Heat vs. Thunder predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds and insightful NBA computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NBA best bets and dive into our NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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