Heat vs. Rockets Picks & Best Bets 29th Dec 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds

The Houston Rockets will host the Miami Heat in NBA action on Sunday at Toyota Center, beginning at 7:00 p.m. ET.
Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun and Fred VanVleet are expected to lead the way for the Rockets, while the Heat will rely on Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Terry Rozier.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NBA matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Heat vs. Rockets bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Rockets will likely defeat the Heat with a projected final score of 111-104.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Heat vs. Rockets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Heat vs. Rockets picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Heat vs. Rockets Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, December 29th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Toyota Center
- Spread: Heat +8.5 / Rockets -8.5
- Moneyline: Heat +280 / Rockets -335
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 215.5 Points (-112/-105)
Heat +8.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Heat have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Rockets have a probability of 47%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -105 for the Heat +8.5, providing a favorable 2% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 215.5 @ -112 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 215.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -112.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood that the total will go over 215.5 points.
Heat vs. Rockets Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Heat at +280 via BetMGM, whilst the Houston Rockets are available at -335 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Rockets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 74% chance of coming out on top.
Although the Rockets are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +280 odds on the Heat moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Heat vs. Rockets
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Sunday's Heat vs. Rockets matchup.
Miami Heat Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Herro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
Bam Adebayo | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 |
Terry Rozier | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Alec Burks | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Nikola Jovic | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Alec Burks Over 7.5 Points Scored (-105)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Alec Burks Over 7.5 Points Scored | BetMGM | Get Offer | -105 |
- Our top prop bet for the Heat is on Alec Burks to score over 7.5 points.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 12 points, giving us an edge of 8.8% on the -105 odds offered by BetMGM.
Houston Rockets Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jalen Green | 20 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Alperen Sengun | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 |
Fred VanVleet | 16 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Amen Thompson | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
Jabari Smith | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
Jalen Green Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+115)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jalen Green Over 2.5 3-Pointers | BetMGM | Get Offer | +115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Rockets is on Jalen Green to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 8.8% on the +115 odds offered by BetMGM.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Heat vs. Rockets Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Heat vs. Rockets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Alec Burks Over 0.5 Total Steals
Alec Burks has recorded at least one steal in 8 of his last 13 appearances (62% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +130 (43% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Nikola Jovic Over 0.5 Total Steals
Nikola Jovic has recorded at least one steal in 8 of his last 13 games (62%). You can place a wager on him to get another one at odds of +110 (48%), also available at Bet365.
Haywood Highsmith Over 0.5 Total Turnovers
Haywood Highsmith has recorded at least one turnover in 9 of his last 11 games (82%). You can bet on him to record at least one more again at odds of -220 (69%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jalen Green of the Rockets to put up over 2.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 3 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Heat +8.5 to cover.
Beyond our Heat vs. Rockets predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds tonight and insightful NBA predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NBA bets tonight and dive into our NBA expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NBA betting sites.