Heat vs. Pistons Picks & Best Bets 16th Dec 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds

The Detroit Pistons will host the Miami Heat in NBA action on Monday at Little Caesars Arena, tipping off at 7:00 p.m. ET.
The Pistons will be led by Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey and Malik Beasley, while the Heat have Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Monday's NBA matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Heat vs. Pistons bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Heat will likely beat the Pistons with a projected final score of 112-106.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Heat vs. Pistons Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Heat vs. Pistons picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Heat vs. Pistons Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, December 16th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Little Caesars Arena
- Spread: Heat -4.5 / Pistons +4.5
- Moneyline: Heat -180 / Pistons +166
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 219 Points (-108/-112)
Heat -4.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Heat and Pistons have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Heat -4.5 because of DraftKings Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -108.
Total Points Over 219 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 219 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -108.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood that the total will go over 219 points.
Heat vs. Pistons Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Heat at -180 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Detroit Pistons are available at +166 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Heat are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 68% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Heat present the best betting value, with the odds of -180 available at DraftKings Sportsbook for an edge of 3.3%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Heat vs. Pistons
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Monday's Heat vs. Pistons matchup.
Miami Heat Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Herro | 24 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Jimmy Butler | 21 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
Bam Adebayo | 18 | 10 | 5 | 1 |
Terry Rozier | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Duncan Robinson | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Tyler Herro Over 4.5 Assists (+102)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Tyler Herro Over 4.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +102 |
- Our top prop bet for the Heat is on Tyler Herro to record over 4.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 6 assists, giving us an edge of 10.2% on the +102 odds offered by FanDuel.
Detroit Pistons Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Cade Cunningham | 21 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
Jaden Ivey | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Malik Beasley | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Jalen Duren | 11 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Simone Fontecchio | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Jalen Duren Over 8.5 Rebounds (-113)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jalen Duren Over 8.5 Rebounds | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -113 |
- Our best prop bet for the Pistons is on Jalen Duren to record over 8.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 10 rebounds, giving us an edge of 8.0% on the -113 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Heat vs. Pistons Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Heat vs. Pistons trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Isaiah Stewart Over 1.5 Total Assists
Isaiah Stewart has recorded more than 1.5 assists in 7 of his last 11 appearances (64% success rate). You can bet on him to record 2+ assists again at odds of +130 (43% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Jalen Duren Over 1.5 Total Turnovers
Jalen Duren has had more than 1.5 turnovers in 6 of his last 10 appearances (60%). You can place a wager on him to record over 1.5 turnovers again at odds of +125 (44%), also available at Bet365.
Jalen Duren Over 1.5 Total Assists
Jalen Duren has had more than 1.5 assists in 7 of his last 10 games (70%). You can wager on him to record over 1.5 assists again at odds of -115 (53%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tyler Herro of the Heat to record over 4.5 assists, with a projection of 6 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Heat -4.5 to cover.
Beyond our Heat vs. Pistons predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds for today and insightful NBA predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NBA bets tonight and dive into our NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NBA betting sites.