Heat vs. Pistons Picks & Best Bets 12th Nov 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Detroit Pistons will meet the Miami Heat in NBA action on Tuesday at Little Caesars Arena, beginning at 7:00 p.m. ET.
Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey and Tobias Harris are set to lead the way for the Pistons, while the Heat are headlined by Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Terry Rozier.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's NBA matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Heat vs. Pistons bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Heat will likely win with a projected final score of 108-106.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Heat vs. Pistons Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Heat vs. Pistons picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Heat vs. Pistons Game Information
- Game Date: Tuesday, November 12th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Little Caesars Arena
- Spread: Heat -1.5 / Pistons +1.5
- Moneyline: Heat -118 / Pistons +102
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 214.5 Points (-110/-110)
Heat -1.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Heat have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Pistons have a probability of 49%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -105.
Total Points Over 214.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 214.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 53% chance that the total will go over 214.5 points, providing an edge of 0.3%.
Heat vs. Pistons Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Heat at -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Detroit Pistons are available at +102 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Heat are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 57% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Heat also present the best betting value, with the odds of -118 available at DraftKings Sportsbook for an edge of 2.7%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Heat vs. Pistons
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Tuesday's Heat vs. Pistons game.
Miami Heat Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 21 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| Bam Adebayo | 20 | 11 | 5 | 1 |
| Terry Rozier | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Haywood Highsmith | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Nikola Jovic | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Bam Adebayo Over 4.5 Assists (+125)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo Over 4.5 Assists | BetMGM | Get Offer | +125 |
- Our top prop bet for the Heat is on Bam Adebayo to record over 4.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 6.3% on the +125 odds offered by BetMGM.
Detroit Pistons Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 23 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
| Jaden Ivey | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Tobias Harris | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| Jalen Duren | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| Tim Hardaway | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Jalen Duren Over 10.5 Rebounds (+105)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Duren Over 10.5 Rebounds | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +105 |
- Our best prop bet for the Pistons is on Jalen Duren to record over 10.5 rebounds.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 11 rebounds, giving us an edge of 6.3% on the +105 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Heat vs. Pistons Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Heat vs. Pistons trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Terry Rozier Over 1.5 Total Turnovers
Terry Rozier has recorded more than 1.5 turnovers in 7 of his last 10 games (70% success rate). You can bet on him to go over 1.5 turnovers again at odds of +140 (42% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Jaden Ivey Over 3.5 Total Turnovers
Jaden Ivey has had more than 3.5 turnovers in 9 of his last 15 appearances (60%). You can place a wager on him to record over 3.5 turnovers again at odds of +125 (44%), also available at Bet365.
Cade Cunningham Over 21.5 Points Scored
Cade Cunningham has scored more than 21.5 points in 10 of his last 14 appearances (71%). You can wager on him to record over 21.5 points again at odds of -120 (55%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Bam Adebayo of the Heat to record over 4.5 assists, with a projection of 5 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Heat -1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Heat vs. Pistons predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting resources. These include the latest NBA odds for today and insightful NBA predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NBA bets today and dive into NBA sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NBA betting sites.
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