Heat vs. Pacers Picks & Best Bets 17th Nov 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Indiana Pacers will face the Miami Heat in NBA action on Sunday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, starting at 5:00 p.m. ET.
The Pacers will be led by Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin and Myles Turner, while the Heat will rely on Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Terry Rozier.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NBA matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Heat vs. Pacers bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Pacers will likely beat the Heat with a projected final score of 116-111.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Heat vs. Pacers Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Heat vs. Pacers picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Heat vs. Pacers Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 5:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
- Spread: Heat +4.5 / Pacers -4.5
- Moneyline: Heat +150 / Pacers -175
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 228.5 Points (-108/-110)
Pacers -4.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Pacers have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Heat have a probability of 48%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -105.
Total Points Under 228.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 228.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis shows a slightly higher likelihood that the total will stay under 228.5 points.
Heat vs. Pacers Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Heat at +150 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Indiana Pacers are available at -175 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Pacers are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 65% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Pacers present the best betting value, with the odds of -175 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 1.5%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Heat vs. Pacers
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Sunday's Heat vs. Pacers matchup.
Miami Heat Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 22 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Bam Adebayo | 19 | 11 | 4 | 1 |
| Terry Rozier | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Haywood Highsmith | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Tyler Herro Under 5.5 Assists (+106)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro Under 5.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +106 |
- Our top prop bet for the Heat is on Tyler Herro to record under 5.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 5 assists, giving us an edge of 5.5% on the +106 odds offered by FanDuel.
Indiana Pacers Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 20 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Myles Turner | 17 | 7 | 2 | 4 |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| T.J. McConnell | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Myles Turner Over 1.5 3-Pointers (-155)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner Over 1.5 3-Pointers | BetMGM | Get Offer | -155 |
- Our best prop bet for the Pacers is on Myles Turner to record over 1.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 8.5% on the -155 odds offered by BetMGM.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Heat vs. Pacers Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Heat vs. Pacers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Bam Adebayo Over 3.5 Total Assists
Bam Adebayo has recorded more than 3.5 assists in 7 of his last 10 games (70% of the time). You can wager on him to record 4+ assists again at odds of -115 (53% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Bam Adebayo Over 1.5 Total Steals
Bam Adebayo has had more than 1.5 steals in 6 of his last 12 games (50%). You can place a bet on him to record over 1.5 steals again at odds of +150 (40%), also available at Bet365.
Bennedict Mathurin Over 5.5 Total Rebounds
Bennedict Mathurin has had more than 5.5 rebounds in 7 of his last 10 appearances (70%). You can wager on him to record over 5.5 rebounds again at odds of -146 (59%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Myles Turner of the Pacers to put up over 1.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 4 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Pacers -4.5 to cover.
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