Heat vs. Kings Picks & Best Bets 6th Jan 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds

The Sacramento Kings will host the Miami Heat in NBA action on Monday at Golden 1 Center, tipping off at 10:00 p.m. ET.
DeMar DeRozan, Domantas Sabonis and Malik Monk are expected to lead the way for the Kings, while the Heat are headlined by Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Terry Rozier.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Monday's NBA matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Heat vs. Kings bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Kings will likely defeat the Heat with a projected final score of 110-108.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Heat vs. Kings Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Heat vs. Kings picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Heat vs. Kings Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, January 6th, 2025
- Game Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Golden 1 Center
- Spread: Heat +3.5 / Kings -3.5
- Moneyline: Heat +140 / Kings -162
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 217 Points (-112/-108)
Heat +3.5 @ -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Heat have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Kings have a probability of 48%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -108.
Total Points Over 217 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 217 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -112.
- Our analysis suggests a 53% likelihood of the 217-point total going over.
Heat vs. Kings Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Heat at +140 via BetMGM, whilst the Sacramento Kings are available at -162 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Kings are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 58% chance of victory.
Even though the Kings are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +140 odds on the Heat moneyline, providing an edge of 0%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Heat vs. Kings
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Monday's Heat vs. Kings matchup.
Miami Heat Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Herro | 25 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Bam Adebayo | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1 |
Terry Rozier | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Nikola Jovic | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Duncan Robinson | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 3-Pointers (-105)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 3-Pointers | BetMGM | Get Offer | -105 |
- Our top prop bet for the Heat is on Duncan Robinson to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 7.1% on the -105 odds offered by BetMGM.
Sacramento Kings Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
DeMar DeRozan | 21 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Domantas Sabonis | 19 | 14 | 7 | 1 |
Malik Monk | 18 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
Keegan Murray | 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
Devin Carter | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Domantas Sabonis Over 6.5 Assists (+110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Domantas Sabonis Over 6.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Kings is on Domantas Sabonis to record over 6.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 7 assists, giving us an edge of 7.9% on the +110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Heat vs. Kings Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Heat vs. Kings trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Terry Rozier Over 3.5 Total Rebounds
Terry Rozier has recorded more than 3.5 rebounds in 9 of his last 13 games (69% success rate). You can put money on him to go over 3.5 rebounds again at odds of +100 (50% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Keon Ellis Over 1.5 Total Steals
Keon Ellis has had more than 1.5 steals in 8 of his last 13 games (62%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 1.5 steals again at odds of +110 (48%), available at Bet365.
Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 Total Assists
Duncan Robinson has had more than 2.5 assists in 7 of his last 10 appearances (70%). You can wager on him to record over 2.5 assists again at odds of -105 (51%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Domantas Sabonis of the Kings to record over 6.5 assists, with a projection of 7 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Heat +3.5 to cover.
Beyond our Heat vs. Kings predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds tonight and insightful NBA expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NBA bets tonight and dive into NBA sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online NBA betting sites.