Heat vs. Hawks Picks & Best Bets 28th Dec 2024: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Atlanta Hawks will meet the Miami Heat in NBA action on Saturday at State Farm Arena, tipping off at 3:00 p.m. ET.
Trae Young, De'Andre Hunter and Jalen Johnson are set to lead the way for the Hawks, while the Heat are headlined by Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Terry Rozier.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NBA matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Heat vs. Hawks bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Heat will likely defeat the Hawks.
Considering the game can't end in a tie due to overtime, our final score prediction is based on each team's average score after running our simulations.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Heat vs. Hawks Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Heat vs. Hawks picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create NBA picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Heat vs. Hawks Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, December 28th, 2024
- Game Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
- Location: State Farm Arena
- Spread: Heat -1.5 / Hawks +1.5
- Moneyline: Heat -112 / Hawks -104
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 227 Points (-110/-108)
Heat -1.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Heat have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the Hawks have a probability of 45%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -105 for the Heat -1.5, presenting a favorable 4.1% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 227 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 227, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis shows a 52% probability of the 227-point total staying under.
Heat vs. Hawks Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Heat at -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Atlanta Hawks are available at -104 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Heat are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Heat are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers -104 odds on the Hawks moneyline, providing an edge of 7.1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Heat vs. Hawks
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Saturday's Heat vs. Hawks game.
Miami Heat Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 23 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Bam Adebayo | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| Terry Rozier | 16 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Duncan Robinson | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Tyler Herro Over 5.5 Assists (+112)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro Over 5.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +112 |
- Our top prop bet for the Heat is on Tyler Herro to record over 5.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 6 assists, giving us an edge of 7.7% on the +112 odds offered by FanDuel.
Atlanta Hawks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young | 21 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
| De'Andre Hunter | 21 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Jalen Johnson | 20 | 10 | 4 | 2 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Clint Capela | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
De'Andre Hunter Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| De'Andre Hunter Over 2.5 3-Pointers | BetMGM | Get Offer | +110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Hawks is on De'Andre Hunter to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 3 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 7.8% on the +110 odds offered by BetMGM.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Heat vs. Hawks Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have sourced the best Heat vs. Hawks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Trae Young Over 4.5 Total Turnovers
Trae Young has recorded more than 4.5 turnovers in 11 of his last 19 games (58% of the time). You can wager on him to go over 4.5 turnovers again at odds of +132 (43% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Zaccharie Risacher Over 3.5 Total Rebounds
Zaccharie Risacher has had more than 3.5 rebounds in 5 of his last 10 games (50%). You can place a wager on him to record over 3.5 rebounds again at odds of +144 (41%), available at FanDuel.
Trae Young Over 1.5 Total Steals
Trae Young has had more than 1.5 steals in 8 of his last 16 appearances (50%). You can bet on him to record over 1.5 steals again at odds of +150 (40%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing De'Andre Hunter of the Hawks to put up over 2.5 three-pointers, with a projection of 3 made threes marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Heat -1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Heat vs. Hawks predictions, we offer extensive NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds and insightful NBA computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the NBA best bets today and dive into Mark Schindler's NBA insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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