Heat vs. Bucks Picks & Best Bets 23rd Jan 2025: NBA Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds

The Milwaukee Bucks will take on the Miami Heat in NBA action on Thursday at Fiserv Forum, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Giannis Antetokounmpo, Damian Lillard and Khris Middleton are expected to lead the way for the Bucks, while the Heat will rely on Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware and Duncan Robinson.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NBA matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Heat vs. Bucks bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Bucks will likely beat the Heat with a projected final score of 116-109.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Heat vs. Bucks Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Heat vs. Bucks picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Heat vs. Bucks Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, January 23rd, 2025
- Game Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Fiserv Forum
- Spread: Heat +6.5 / Bucks -6.5
- Moneyline: Heat +220 / Bucks -245
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 226 Points (-110/-102)
Bucks -6.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Bucks have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Heat have a probability of 49%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -110.
Total Points Under 226 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 226, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -102.
- Our analysis shows a slightly higher probability that the total will stay under 226 points.
Heat vs. Bucks Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Heat at +220 via BetMGM, whilst the Milwaukee Bucks are available at -245 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Bucks are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 74% chance of prevailing.
Additionally, the Bucks present the best betting value, with the odds of -245 available at DraftKings Sportsbook for an edge of 2.7%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Heat vs. Bucks
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We use these projections alongside odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Thursday's Heat vs. Bucks matchup.
Miami Heat Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Herro | 22 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
Kel'el Ware | 14 | 8 | 1 | 2 |
Duncan Robinson | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Bam Adebayo | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
Terry Rozier | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Tyler Herro Over 5.5 Assists (+132)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Tyler Herro Over 5.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +132 |
- Our top prop bet for the Heat is on Tyler Herro to record over 5.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 6 assists, giving us an edge of 8.1% on the +132 odds offered by FanDuel.
Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|
Giannis Antetokounmpo | 31 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Damian Lillard | 24 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
Khris Middleton | 15 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Brook Lopez | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Bobby Portis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
Damian Lillard Over 3.5 3-Pointers (+108)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Damian Lillard Over 3.5 3-Pointers | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +108 |
- Our best prop bet for the Bucks is on Damian Lillard to record over 3.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 6.6% on the +108 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Heat vs. Bucks Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Heat vs. Bucks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Duncan Robinson Over 1.5 Total Turnovers
Duncan Robinson has recorded more than 1.5 turnovers in 5 of his last 10 appearances (50% success rate). You can put money on him to go over 1.5 turnovers again at odds of +185 (35% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Gary Trent Jr. Over 8.5 Points Scored
Gary Trent Jr. has scored more than 8.5 points in 8 of his last 12 games (67%). You can place a wager on him to score 9 or more points again at odds of +104 (49%), available at FanDuel.
Damian Lillard Over 1.5 Total Steals
Damian Lillard has had more than 1.5 steals in 6 of his last 12 games (50%). You can bet on him to record over 1.5 steals again at odds of +175 (36%), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tyler Herro of the Heat to record over 5.5 assists, with a projection of 6 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Bucks -6.5 to cover.
Beyond our Heat vs. Bucks predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds and insightful NBA expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NBA bets and dive into our NBA expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NBA betting sites.