Celtics vs. Mavericks Picks & Best Bets 14th Jun 2024: NBA Game 4 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
- NBA Odds
The Dallas Mavericks will meet the Boston Celtics for Game 4 of the 2024 NBA Finals on Friday at American Airlines Center, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET.
The Mavericks will be led by Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington, while the Celtics are headlined by Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Jrue Holiday.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Friday's NBA matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Celtics vs. Mavericks bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Celtics will likely win with a projected final score of 106-104.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4 Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Celtics vs. Mavericks picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NBA predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Celtics vs. Mavericks Game Information
- Playoffs Stage: 2024 NBA Finals Game 4
- Game Date: Friday, June 14th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: American Airlines Center
- Spread: Celtics -1.5 / Mavericks +1.5
- Moneyline: Celtics -115 / Mavericks +100
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 211.5 Points (-110/-110)
Celtics -1.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Celtics have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Mavericks have a probability of 48%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -105 for the Celtics -1.5, providing a favorable 0.8% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 211.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 211.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 51% probability that the total will stay under 211.5 points.
Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4 Moneyline Odds
| Boston Celtics | Dallas Mavericks |
|---|---|
| -115 via BetMGM | +100 via FanDuel Sportsbook |
The Celtics are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 56% chance of victory.
Additionally, the Celtics present the best betting value, with odds of -115 available at BetMGM for an edge of 2.3%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4
Here are the projected points, rebounds, assists and 3-pointers made by each team's leading players. We compare these projections with the odds and lines from sportsbooks to generate NBA player props for Friday's Celtics vs. Mavericks matchup.
Boston Celtics Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 28 | 9 | 7 | 4 |
| Jaylen Brown | 26 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Jrue Holiday | 16 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| Derrick White | 16 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| Al Horford | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
Derrick White Over 4.5 Assists (+136)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White Over 4.5 Assists | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +136 |
- Our top prop bet for the Celtics is on Derrick White to record over 4.5 assists.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 6 assists, giving us an edge of 16.9% on the +136 odds offered by DraftKings.
Dallas Mavericks Prediction
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 33 | 9 | 10 | 5 |
| Kyrie Irving | 28 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| P.J. Washington | 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Dereck Lively | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Gafford | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
Kyrie Irving Over 2.5 3-Pointers (-108)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving Over 2.5 3-Pointers | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -108 |
- Our best prop bet for the Mavericks is on Kyrie Irving to record over 2.5 made threes.
- Our analysis projects him to put up 4 three-pointers, giving us an edge of 9.5% on the -108 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NBA player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4 Betting Trends
In addition to our NBA prop picks, we have compiled the best Celtics vs. Mavericks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Jrue Holiday Over 6.5 Total Rebounds
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday Over 6.5 Rebounds | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +124 |
Jrue Holiday has recorded more than 6.5 rebounds in 7 of his last 11 appearances (64% success rate). You can bet on him to record 7+ rebounds again at odds of +124 (45% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Jrue Holiday Over 12.5 Points Scored
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday Over 12.5 Points Scored | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -112 |
Jrue Holiday has scored more than 12.5 points in 9 of his last 12 games (75%). You can make a bet that he'll score 13+ points again at odds of -112 (53%), available at FanDuel.
Derrick White Over 3.5 Total Assists
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White Over 3.5 Assists | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -112 |
Derrick White has had more than 3.5 assists in 9 of his last 12 appearances (75%). You can bet on him to record over 3.5 assists again at odds of -144 (59%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Derrick White of the Celtics to record over 4.5 assists, with a projection of 6 assists marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Celtics -1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 4 predictions, we offer a wide range of NBA betting tools. These include the latest NBA odds tonight and insightful NBA predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NBA bets tonight and dive into our NBA expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NBA betting sites.
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