Yankees vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 30th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will meet the New York Yankees in MLB action on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Yankees vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Phillies have a 57% chance of defeating the Yankees.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Yankees vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Yankees vs. Phillies picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Yankees vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, July 30th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Yankees +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Yankees +128 / Phillies -140
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 10 Runs (-115/-102)

Phillies -1.5 @ +136 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Phillies have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 41%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +136.

Total Runs Under 10 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 10 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -102.
• Our analysis shows a 55% likelihood that the total will stay under 10 runs, providing an edge of 4.8%.

Yankees vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Yankees at +128 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -140 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 57% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Phillies also present the best betting value, with the odds of -140 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.3%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Yankees vs. Phillies

Here are the top MLB player props for Tuesday's Yankees vs. Phillies matchup.

New York Yankees Prediction - Gerrit Cole Under 3.5 Earned Runs (-170)

• Our top prop bet for the Yankees is on Gerrit Cole to record under 3.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 75.0%, providing an edge of 12.1% on the -170 odds offered by DraftKings.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Brandon Marsh To Get a Hit (-180)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Brandon Marsh to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 75.1%, giving us an edge of 10.8% on the -180 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Yankees vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Yankees vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Ben Rice to Record an RBI

Ben Rice has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 23 games (43% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +195 (34% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Oswaldo Cabrera to Record an RBI

Oswaldo Cabrera has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +245 (29%), also available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Gerrit Cole of the Yankees to record under 3.5 earned runs, with an edge of 12.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Phillies -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Yankees vs. Phillies predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.