White Sox vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 4th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will host the Chicago White Sox in MLB action on Thursday at Progressive Field, starting at 1:10 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best White Sox vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Guardians have a 63% chance of defeating the White Sox.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our White Sox vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's White Sox vs. Guardians picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

White Sox vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, July 4th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: White Sox +1.5 / Guardians -1.5
• Moneyline: White Sox +188 / Guardians -225
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-105/-104)

White Sox +1.5 @ -105 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the White Sox have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the Guardians have a probability of 46%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -105 for the White Sox +1.5, presenting a favorable 3% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis indicates a 54% chance that the total will go over 8.5 runs, providing an edge of 3.2%.

White Sox vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Chicago White Sox at +188 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -225 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 63% chance of coming out on top.

Although the Guardians are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +188 odds on the White Sox moneyline, providing an edge of 2.2%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for White Sox vs. Guardians

Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's White Sox vs. Guardians game.

Chicago White Sox Prediction - Korey Lee To Get a Hit (-110)

• Our top prop bet for the White Sox is on Korey Lee to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 56.6%, providing an edge of 4.2% the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Ben Lively Over 1.5 Earned Runs (-165)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Ben Lively to have over 1.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.1%, giving us an edge of 13.8% on the -165 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

White Sox vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best White Sox vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Lenyn Sosa to Record an RBI

Lenyn Sosa has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +275 (27% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Steven Kwan to Record an RBI

Steven Kwan has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 16 appearances (44%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +210 (32%), also available at DraftKings.

Paul DeJong to Record an RBI

Paul DeJong has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 24 appearances (33%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +245 (29%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ben Lively of the Guardians to record over 1.5 earned runs, with an edge of 13.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the White Sox +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our White Sox vs. Guardians predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.