Twins vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 30th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will go up against the Minnesota Twins in MLB action on Tuesday at Citi Field, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Twins vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Mets have a 55% chance of defeating the Twins.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Twins vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Twins vs. Mets picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Twins vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, July 30th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Twins -1.5 / Mets +1.5
• Moneyline: Twins +100 / Mets -108
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-108/-110)

Mets +1.5 @ -176 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 68% chance of covering the run line, while the Twins have a probability of 32%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -176 for the Mets +1.5, presenting a favorable 4% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -110 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
• Our analysis suggests a 51% likelihood that the total will stay under 8.5 runs.

Twins vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Minnesota Twins at +100 via BetMGM, whilst the New York Mets are available at -108 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 55% chance of victory.

Additionally, the Mets present the best betting value, with the odds of -108 available at FanDuel Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 3.2%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Twins vs. Mets

Here are the best MLB player props for Tuesday's Twins vs. Mets matchup.

Minnesota Twins Prediction - David Festa Over 15.5 Outs Recorded (+125)

• Our top prop bet for the Twins is on David Festa to record over 15.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 49.1%, providing an edge of 4.7% on the +125 odds offered by BetMGM.

New York Mets Prediction - Sean Manaea Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+135)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Sean Manaea to have under 4.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 52.5%, providing an edge of 9.9% on the +135 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Twins vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Twins vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Brooks Lee to Record an RBI

Brooks Lee has recorded at least one RBI in 9 of his last 20 appearances (45% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +250 (29% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Pete Alonso to Record a Hit

Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80%). You can place a wager on him to get another one at odds of -180 (64%), also available at DraftKings.

Royce Lewis to Record an RBI

Royce Lewis has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of his last 23 games (48%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +175 (36%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Sean Manaea of the Mets to record under 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 9.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Mets +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Twins vs. Mets predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.