Twins vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Cleveland Guardians will take on the Minnesota Twins in MLB action on Friday at Progressive Field, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Twins vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Guardians have a 54% chance of beating the Twins.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Twins vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Twins vs. Guardians picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Twins vs. Guardians Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, May 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Progressive Field
- Run Line: Twins -1.5 / Guardians +1.5
- Moneyline: Twins +108 / Guardians -125
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-115/-102)
Twins -1.5 @ +170 via BetMGM
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Twins -1.5 | BetMGM | +170 |
- According to our simulations, the Twins have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the Twins have a probability of 44%.
- BetMGM offers odds of +170 for the Twins -1.5, providing a favorable 7.3% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 8 @ -115 via BetMGM
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 8 | BetMGM | -115 |
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -115.
- Our analysis suggests a 59% chance of the 8-run total going over, providing an edge of 5.5%.
Twins vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds
| Minnesota Twins | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|
| +108 via FanDuel Sportsbook | -125 via BetMGM |
The Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 54% chance of prevailing.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Guardians also present the best betting value, with odds of -125 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Twins vs. Guardians
Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Twins vs. Guardians game.
Minnesota Twins Prediction - Simeon Woods Richardson Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+140)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson Over 1.5 Walks Allowed | BetMGM | +140 |
- Our top prop bet for the Twins is on Simeon Woods Richardson to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 58.8%, giving us an edge of 17.1% the +140 odds offered by BetMGM.
Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Triston McKenzie Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+140)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Triston McKenzie Over 5.5 Strikeouts | BetMGM | +140 |
- Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Triston McKenzie to have over 5.5 strikeouts.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 53.3%, giving us an edge of 11.6% on the +140 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Twins vs. Guardians Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Twins vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Trevor Larnach to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +200 |
Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 19 games (53% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +200 (33% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Andrés Giménez to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Andrés Giménez to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +235 |
Andrés Giménez has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 15 games (47%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +235 (30%), also available at DraftKings.
Carlos Santana to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Santana to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +235 |
Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 22 appearances (45%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +210 (32%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Simeon Woods Richardson of the Twins to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 17.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Twins -1.5 to cover.
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