Tigers vs. Twins Picks & Best Bets 4th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Minnesota Twins will host the Detroit Tigers in MLB action on Thursday at Target Field, starting at 1:10 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Tigers vs. Twins bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Twins have a 62% chance of defeating the Tigers.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Tigers vs. Twins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Tigers vs. Twins picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Tigers vs. Twins Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, July 4th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Target Field
• Run Line: Tigers +1.5 / Twins -1.5
• Moneyline: Tigers +166 / Twins -198
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (+100/-122)

Tigers +1.5 @ -120 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Tigers have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Twins have a probability of 43%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -120 for the Tigers +1.5, providing a favorable 2.5% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ +100 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at +100.
• Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance of the 8.5-run total going over, which presents greater value compared to betting on the under.

Tigers vs. Twins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Detroit Tigers at +166 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Minnesota Twins are available at -198 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Twins are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 62% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Twins are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +166 odds on the Tigers moneyline, providing an edge of 0.6%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Tigers vs. Twins

Here are the top MLB player props for Thursday's Tigers vs. Twins game.

Detroit Tigers Prediction - Wenceel Perez To Get a Hit (-155)

• Our top prop bet for the Tigers is on Wenceel Perez to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 61.0%, providing an edge of 0.2% on the -155 odds offered by DraftKings.

Minnesota Twins Prediction - Carlos Correa To Get a HR (+550)

• Our best prop bet for the Twins is on Carlos Correa to hit a home run.
• According to our analysis, there is a probability of 16.3% that he will go yard, giving us an edge of 0.9% on the +550 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Tigers vs. Twins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Tigers vs. Twins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jose Miranda to Record a Hit

Jose Miranda has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 10 appearances (90% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of -265 (73% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Riley Greene to Record an RBI

Riley Greene has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 21 games (38%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +215 (32%), also available at DraftKings.

Gio Urshela to Record an RBI

Gio Urshela has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 25 appearances (32%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +245 (29%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Carlos Correa of the Twins to hit a home run as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Tigers +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Tigers vs. Twins predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.