Tigers vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 7th Oct 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will host the Detroit Tigers in MLB action on Monday at Progressive Field, beginning at 4:08 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Tigers vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Guardians have a 51% chance of defeating the Tigers.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Tigers vs. Guardians picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Tigers vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Monday, October 7th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:08 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Tigers -1.5 / Guardians +1.5
• Moneyline: Tigers -130 / Guardians +110
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 6 Runs (-105/-110)

Guardians +1.5 @ -172 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the Tigers have a probability of 34%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -172 for the Guardians +1.5, presenting a favorable 3% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 6 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 6 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis indicates a 55% chance that the total will go over 6 runs, providing an edge of 4.3%.

Tigers vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Detroit Tigers at -130 via BetMGM, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at +110 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 51% chance of prevailing.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Guardians also present the best betting value, with the odds of +110 available at BetMGM for an edge of 3.3%.

Detroit Tigers Prediction - Matthew Boyd Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-110)

• Our top prop bet for the Tigers is on Matthew Boyd to record over 3.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 65.0%, providing an edge of 12.6% on the -110 odds offered by BetMGM.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Matthew Boyd Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-110)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Matthew Boyd to have over 3.5 hits allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 65.0%, giving us an edge of 12.6% on the -110 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Tigers vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Lane Thomas to Hit a Home Run

Lane Thomas has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 11 appearances (36% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +750 (12% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Andrés Giménez to Record an RBI

Andrés Giménez has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 11 games (36%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +340 (23%), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Matthew Boyd of the Tigers to record over 3.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 12.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Guardians +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Tigers vs. Guardians predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.