Tigers vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 5th Oct 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will meet the Detroit Tigers in MLB action on Saturday at Progressive Field, beginning at 1:08 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Tigers vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Guardians have a 58% chance of beating the Tigers.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Tigers vs. Guardians picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Tigers vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, October 5th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:08 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Tigers +1.5 / Guardians -1.5
• Moneyline: Tigers +120 / Guardians -136
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 6.5 Runs (-122/+105)

Guardians -1.5 @ +170 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Guardians have a probability of 39%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of +170 for the Guardians -1.5, providing a favorable 2.1% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 6.5 @ -122 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 6.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -122.
• Our analysis indicates a 61% likelihood of the 6.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 5.7%.

Tigers vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Detroit Tigers at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -136 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 58% chance of victory.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Guardians also present the best betting value, with the odds of -136 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 0.4%.

Detroit Tigers Prediction - Tanner Bibee Over 14.5 Outs Recorded (-160)

• Our top prop bet for the Tigers is on Tanner Bibee to record over 14.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 73.0%, providing an edge of 11.5% on the -160 odds offered by BetMGM.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Tanner Bibee Over 14.5 Outs (-160)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Tanner Bibee to have over 14.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.0%, giving us an edge of 11.5% on the -160 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Tigers vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

José Ramírez to Record a Hit

José Ramírez has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 19 appearances (84% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of -240 (71% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Lane Thomas to Record an RBI

Lane Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in 9 of his last 20 games (45%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +215 (32%), also available at DraftKings.

Bo Naylor to Record a Hit

Bo Naylor has recorded at least one hit in 5 of his last 10 games (50%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of +100 (50%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tanner Bibee of the Tigers to record over 14.5 outs, with an edge of 11.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Guardians -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Tigers vs. Guardians predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.