Tigers vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 22nd Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Cleveland Guardians will host the Detroit Tigers in MLB action on Monday at Progressive Field, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to highlight the best Tigers vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Tigers have a 55% chance of beating the Guardians.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Tigers vs. Guardians picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Tigers vs. Guardians Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, July 22nd, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Progressive Field
- Run Line: Tigers -1.5 / Guardians +1.5
- Moneyline: Tigers -134 / Guardians +115
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7 Runs (-105/-110)
Guardians +1.5 @ -160 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Tigers have a probability of 40%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -160.
Total Runs Over 7 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a 59% likelihood that the total will go over 7 runs, providing an edge of 7.7%.
Tigers vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Detroit Tigers at -134 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at +115 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Tigers are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 55% chance of coming out on top.
Even though the Tigers are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +115 odds on the Guardians moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Tigers vs. Guardians
Here are the best MLB player props for Monday's Tigers vs. Guardians matchup.
Detroit Tigers Prediction - Tarik Skubal Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+125)
- Our top prop bet for the Tigers is on Tarik Skubal to record under 4.5 hits allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 52.0%, giving us an edge of 7.6% over the +125 odds offered by BetMGM.
Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Carlos Carrasco Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+145)
- Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Carlos Carrasco to have over 1.5 walks allowed.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 54.7%, giving us an edge of 13.9% on the +145 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Tigers vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Bo Naylor to Record an RBI
Bo Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 25 appearances (32% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +285 (26% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Carlos Carrasco of the Guardians to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 13.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Guardians +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Tigers vs. Guardians predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.