Tigers vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 12th Oct 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will go up against the Detroit Tigers in MLB action on Saturday at Progressive Field, beginning at 1:08 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Tigers vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Guardians have a 52% chance of beating the Tigers.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Tigers vs. Guardians picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Tigers vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, October 12th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:08 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Tigers -1.5 / Guardians +1.5
• Moneyline: Tigers -115 / Guardians -102
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 6 Runs (-104/-118)

Guardians +1.5 @ -194 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the Tigers have a probability of 34%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -194 for the Guardians +1.5, providing a favorable 0.2% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 6 @ -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 6 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -104.
• Our analysis shows a 53% chance that the total will go over 6 runs, providing an edge of 2.2%.

Tigers vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Detroit Tigers at -115 via BetMGM, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -102 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of victory.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Guardians also present the best betting value, with the odds of -102 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 1.4%.

Detroit Tigers Prediction - Tarik Skubal Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+135)

• Our top prop bet for the Tigers is on Tarik Skubal to record under 5.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 53.5%, providing an edge of 10.9% on the +135 odds offered by BetMGM.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Tarik Skubal Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+135)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Tarik Skubal to have under 5.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 53.5%, giving us an edge of 10.9% on the +135 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Tigers vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

David Fry to Record an RBI

David Fry has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 15 games (40% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +320 (24% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Jake Rogers to Record a Hit

Jake Rogers has recorded at least one hit in 6 of his last 10 appearances (60%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of +100 (50%), also available at DraftKings.

Brayan Rocchio to Record an RBI

Brayan Rocchio has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 16 games (25%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +425 (19%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tarik Skubal of the Tigers to record under 5.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 10.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Guardians +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Tigers vs. Guardians predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.