Royals vs. Reds Picks & Best Bets 16th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cincinnati Reds will take on the Kansas City Royals in MLB action on Friday at Great American Ball Park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Royals vs. Reds bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Reds have a 54% chance of defeating the Royals.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Royals vs. Reds Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Royals vs. Reds picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Royals vs. Reds Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, August 16th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Great American Ball Park
• Run Line: Royals +1.5 / Reds -1.5
• Moneyline: Royals +124 / Reds -138
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 10 Runs (-105/-112)

Royals +1.5 @ -162 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Royals have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Reds have a probability of 36%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -162 for the Royals +1.5, providing a favorable 1.7% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 10 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 10, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -112.
• Our analysis suggests a 53% probability that the total will stay under 10 runs.

Royals vs. Reds Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Kansas City Royals at +124 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Cincinnati Reds are available at -138 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Reds are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 54% chance of victory.

Although the Reds are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +124 odds on the Royals moneyline, providing an edge of 1.7%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Royals vs. Reds

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Royals vs. Reds matchup.

Kansas City Royals Prediction - Michael Lorenzen Over 15.5 Outs Recorded (+135)

• Our top prop bet for the Royals is on Michael Lorenzen to record over 15.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 55.7%, giving us an edge of 13.1% the +135 odds offered by BetMGM.

Cincinnati Reds Prediction - Jake Fraley To Get a Hit (-160)

• Our best prop bet for the Reds is on Jake Fraley to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 75.4%, providing an edge of 13.9% on the -160 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Royals vs. Reds Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Royals vs. Reds trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Maikel Garcia to Record a Hit

Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 23 games (74% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of -215 (68% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Bobby Witt Jr. to Hit a Home Run

Bobby Witt Jr. has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 12 appearances (33%). You can place a bet on him to hit another one at odds of +310 (24%), available at Bet365.

Jake Fraley to Hit a Home Run

Jake Fraley has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 16 appearances (12%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +850 (11%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jake Fraley of the Reds to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Royals +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Royals vs. Reds predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.