Royals vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 14th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Boston Red Sox will face the Kansas City Royals in MLB action on Sunday at Fenway Park, starting at 1:35 p.m. ET.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Royals vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Red Sox have a 56% chance of beating the Royals.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Royals vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Royals vs. Red Sox picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Royals vs. Red Sox Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, July 14th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
- Location: Fenway Park
- Run Line: Royals +1.5 / Red Sox -1.5
- Moneyline: Royals +120 / Red Sox -142
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (-110/-108)
Royals +1.5 @ -165 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Royals have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Red Sox have a probability of 38%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -165.
Total Runs Under 9.5 @ -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis shows a 53% chance that the total will stay under 9.5 runs, providing an edge of 0.6%.
Royals vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Kansas City Royals at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the Boston Red Sox are available at -142 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Red Sox are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 56% chance of prevailing.
Although the Red Sox are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +120 odds on the Royals moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Royals vs. Red Sox
Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Royals vs. Red Sox matchup.
Kansas City Royals Prediction - Garrett Hampson To Get a Hit (-150)
- Our top prop bet for the Royals is on Garrett Hampson to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 66.1%, providing an edge of 6.1% the -150 odds offered by BetMGM.
Boston Red Sox Prediction - Brayan Bello Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (-105)
- Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on Brayan Bello to have over 1.5 walks allowed.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 62.3%, providing an edge of 11.1% on the -105 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Royals vs. Red Sox Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Royals vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Jarren Duran to Record an RBI
Jarren Duran has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 20 games (40% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +165 (38% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Kyle Isbel to Record an RBI
Kyle Isbel has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 14 games (29%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +260 (28%), also available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Brayan Bello of the Red Sox to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 11.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Royals +1.5 to cover.
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