Royals vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 12th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Boston Red Sox will meet the Kansas City Royals in MLB action on Friday at Fenway Park, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Royals vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Royals have a 54% chance of defeating the Red Sox.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Royals vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Royals vs. Red Sox picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Royals vs. Red Sox Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, July 12th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Fenway Park
• Run Line: Royals -1.5 / Red Sox +1.5
• Moneyline: Royals -110 / Red Sox -104
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-115/-102)

Royals -1.5 @ +145 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Royals have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the Royals have a probability of 42%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +145 for the Royals -1.5, providing a favorable 1% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -102.
• Our analysis suggests a 52% probability of the 9-run total staying under, providing an edge of 1.7%.

Royals vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Kansas City Royals at -110 via BetMGM, whilst the Boston Red Sox are available at -104 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Royals are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 54% chance of prevailing.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Royals also present the best betting value, with the odds of -110 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 1.8%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Royals vs. Red Sox

Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Royals vs. Red Sox game.

Kansas City Royals Prediction - Cole Ragans Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (+125)

• Our top prop bet for the Royals is on Cole Ragans to record under 17.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 54.9%, providing an edge of 10.4% the +125 odds offered by BetMGM.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Ceddanne Rafaela To Get a Hit (-165)

• Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on Ceddanne Rafaela to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.0%, giving us an edge of 13.7% on the -165 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Royals vs. Red Sox Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Royals vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Masataka Yoshida to Record an RBI

Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 10 games (60% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +255 (28% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Ceddanne Rafaela to Record an RBI

Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 games (50%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +220 (31%), also available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ceddanne Rafaela of the Red Sox to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Royals -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Royals vs. Red Sox predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.