Royals vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 15th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will go up against the Kansas City Royals in MLB action on Sunday at PNC Park, starting at 1:35 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Royals vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Pirates have a 52% chance of beating the Royals.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Royals vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Royals vs. Pirates picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Royals vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, September 15th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Royals -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
• Moneyline: Royals -102 / Pirates -110
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-105/-108)

Pirates +1.5 @ -188 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Royals have a probability of 35%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -188.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis shows a 53% likelihood of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 1.7%.

Royals vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Kansas City Royals at -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at -110 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Pirates are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Pirates also present the best betting value, with the odds of -110 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Kansas City Royals Prediction - Adam Frazier To Get a Hit (-120)

• Our top prop bet for the Royals is on Adam Frazier to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 66.5%, giving us an edge of 12.0% on the -120 odds offered by DraftKings.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Jared Jones Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+115)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Jared Jones to have over 1.5 walks allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 55.5%, giving us an edge of 9.0% on the +115 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Royals vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Royals vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Rowdy Tellez to Hit a Home Run

Rowdy Tellez has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 17 appearances (18% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +900 (10% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Adam Frazier of the Royals to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Royals vs. Pirates predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.