Royals vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 14th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will go up against the Kansas City Royals in MLB action on Saturday at PNC Park, beginning at 1:05 p.m. ET.

We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Royals vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that this game could go down to the wire, with both the Royals and Pirates having a 50% likelihood of winning.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Royals vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Royals vs. Pirates picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Royals vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, September 14th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Royals -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
• Moneyline: Royals -113 / Pirates -105
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-130/+104)

Pirates +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Royals have a probability of 37%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -175.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -130 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -130.
• Our analysis suggests a 59% likelihood that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 2.3%.

Royals vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Kansas City Royals at -113 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at -105 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Pirates are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 50% chance of victory.

With both teams projected to have a 50% chance of winning, it's the moneyline odds for the Pirates that present the best value. BetMGM's -105 odds make this our recommended moneyline bet.

Kansas City Royals Prediction - Michael Wacha Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+132)

• Our top prop bet for the Royals is on Michael Wacha to record over 5.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 53.8%, providing an edge of 10.7% on the +132 odds offered by FanDuel.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Mitch Keller Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+130)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Mitch Keller to have over 1.5 walks allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 56.1%, providing an edge of 12.6% on the +130 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Royals vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Royals vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Tommy Pham to Hit a Home Run

Tommy Pham has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 appearances (20% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +850 (11% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Mitch Keller of the Pirates to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 12.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Royals vs. Pirates predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.