Royals vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 28th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will go up against the Kansas City Royals in MLB action on Wednesday at Progressive Field, starting at 1:10 p.m. ET.

We've performed 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Royals vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Guardians have a 58% chance of defeating the Royals.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Royals vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Royals vs. Guardians picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Royals vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, August 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Royals +1.5 / Guardians -1.5
• Moneyline: Royals +130 / Guardians -150
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-112/-102)

Royals +1.5 @ -170 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Royals have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Guardians have a probability of 38%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -170.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -112.
• Our analysis indicates a 57% likelihood that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 4.1%.

Royals vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Kansas City Royals at +130 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -150 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 58% chance of victory.

Although the Guardians are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +130 odds on the Royals moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Royals vs. Guardians

Here are the top MLB player props for Wednesday's Royals vs. Guardians matchup.

Kansas City Royals Prediction - Michael Wacha Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-105)

• Our top prop bet for the Royals is on Michael Wacha to record under 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 57.8%, giving us an edge of 6.6% over the -105 odds offered by DraftKings.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Tanner Bibee Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+105)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Tanner Bibee to have over 2.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 61.8%, giving us an edge of 13.1% on the +105 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Royals vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Royals vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Brayan Rocchio to Record an RBI

Brayan Rocchio has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 23 appearances (30% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +290 (26% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Bo Naylor to Hit a Home Run

Bo Naylor has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 22 appearances (18%). You can place a wager on him to hit another one at odds of +750 (12%), available at Bet365.

MJ Melendez to Hit a Home Run

MJ Melendez has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 10 games (30%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +400 (20%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tanner Bibee of the Guardians to record over 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 13.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Royals +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Royals vs. Guardians predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.