Royals vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 27th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will face the Kansas City Royals in MLB action on Tuesday at Progressive Field, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Royals vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Guardians have a 60% chance of defeating the Royals.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Royals vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Royals vs. Guardians picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Royals vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, August 27th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Royals +1.5 / Guardians -1.5
• Moneyline: Royals +140 / Guardians -155
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-110/-105)

Guardians -1.5 @ +140 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the Guardians have a probability of 42%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +140 for the Guardians -1.5, providing a favorable 0.3% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 9 @ -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -110.
• Our analysis suggests a 51% likelihood of the 9-run total going over.

Royals vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Kansas City Royals at +140 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -155 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 60% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Guardians also present the best betting value, with the odds of -155 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Royals vs. Guardians

Here are the best MLB player props for Tuesday's Royals vs. Guardians matchup.

Kansas City Royals Prediction - Michael Lorenzen Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-102)

• Our top prop bet for the Royals is on Michael Lorenzen to record over 3.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 56.3%, providing an edge of 5.8% on the -102 odds offered by FanDuel.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Gavin Williams Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-130)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Gavin Williams to have over 4.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 69.5%, giving us an edge of 12.9% on the -130 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Royals vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Royals vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Paul DeJong to Record an RBI

Paul DeJong has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 appearances (50% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +215 (32% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Maikel Garcia to Record an RBI

Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 18 games (33%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +245 (29%), also available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Gavin Williams of the Guardians to record over 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 12.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Guardians -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Royals vs. Guardians predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.