Royals vs. Braves Picks & Best Bets 28th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Atlanta Braves will meet the Kansas City Royals in MLB action on Saturday at Truist Park, starting at 7:20 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Royals vs. Braves bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Braves have a 69% chance of beating the Royals.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Royals vs. Braves Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Royals vs. Braves picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Royals vs. Braves Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, September 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
• Location: Truist Park
• Run Line: Royals +1.5 / Braves -1.5
• Moneyline: Royals +200 / Braves -225
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7 Runs (-120/+100)

Braves -1.5 @ +100 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Braves have a 51% chance of covering the run line, while the Royals have a probability of 49%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +100 for the Braves -1.5, presenting a favorable 0.8% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7 @ -120 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -120.
• Our analysis suggests a 64% chance of the 7-run total going over, providing an edge of 9.5%.

Royals vs. Braves Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Kansas City Royals at +200 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Atlanta Braves are available at -225 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Braves are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 69% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Braves present the best betting value, with the odds of -225 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 0.2%.

Kansas City Royals Prediction - Seth Lugo Under 6.5 Hits Allowed (-175)

• Our top prop bet for the Royals is on Seth Lugo to record under 6.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 77.0%, giving us an edge of 13.4% on the -175 odds offered by BetMGM.

Atlanta Braves Prediction - Seth Lugo Under 6.5 Hits Allowed (-175)

• Our best prop bet for the Braves is on Seth Lugo to have under 6.5 hits allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 77.0%, giving us an edge of 13.4% on the -175 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Royals vs. Braves Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Royals vs. Braves trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Michael Harris II to Hit a Home Run

Michael Harris II has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 10 games (40% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +700 (12% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Matt Olson to Hit a Home Run

Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +475 (17%), also available at Bet365.

Dairon Blanco to Hit a Home Run

Dairon Blanco has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 19 games (11%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +1100 (8%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Seth Lugo of the Royals to record under 6.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 13.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Braves -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Royals vs. Braves predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.