Rockies vs. Reds Picks & Best Bets 11th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Colorado Rockies in MLB action on Thursday at Great American Ball Park, beginning at 1:10 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Rockies vs. Reds bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Reds have a 63% chance of beating the Rockies.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Rockies vs. Reds Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Rockies vs. Reds picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Rockies vs. Reds Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, July 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Great American Ball Park
• Run Line: Rockies +1.5 / Reds -1.5
• Moneyline: Rockies +170 / Reds -200
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-105/-115)

Rockies +1.5 @ -115 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Rockies have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the Reds have a probability of 45%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -115 for the Rockies +1.5, providing a favorable 1.9% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis indicates a 56% chance that the total will stay under 9 runs, providing an edge of 2.1%.

Rockies vs. Reds Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Colorado Rockies at +170 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Cincinnati Reds are available at -200 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Reds are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 63% chance of victory.

Even though the Reds are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +170 odds on the Rockies moneyline, providing an edge of 0.4%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Rockies vs. Reds

Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Rockies vs. Reds game.

Colorado Rockies Prediction - Austin Gomber Under 16.5 Outs Recorded (-120)

• Our top prop bet for the Rockies is on Austin Gomber to record under 16.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 67.5%, providing an edge of 12.9% over the -120 odds offered by BetMGM.

Cincinnati Reds Prediction - Austin Wynns To Get a Hit (-150)

• Our best prop bet for the Reds is on Austin Wynns to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.6%, giving us an edge of 12.5% on the -150 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Rockies vs. Reds Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Rockies vs. Reds trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Ryan McMahon to Record a Hit

Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 games (91% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -145 (59% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Hunter Goodman to Record an RBI

Hunter Goodman has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 11 games (36%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +235 (30%), also available at DraftKings.

Noelvi Marte to Record an RBI

Noelvi Marte has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 16 appearances (44%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +150 (40%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Austin Gomber of the Rockies to record under 16.5 outs, with an edge of 12.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Rockies +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Rockies vs. Reds predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.