Reds vs. Yankees Picks & Best Bets 4th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Yankees will take on the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action on Thursday at Yankee Stadium, starting at 1:05 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Reds vs. Yankees bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Yankees have a 60% chance of beating the Reds.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Reds vs. Yankees Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Reds vs. Yankees picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Reds vs. Yankees Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, July 4th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
• Location: Yankee Stadium
• Run Line: Reds +1.5 / Yankees -1.5
• Moneyline: Reds +154 / Yankees -175
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (+100/-115)

Reds +1.5 @ -122 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Reds have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Yankees have a probability of 43%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -122 for the Reds +1.5, presenting a favorable 2.4% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9.5 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis shows a 53% chance of the 9.5-run total staying under.

Reds vs. Yankees Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cincinnati Reds at +154 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the New York Yankees are available at -175 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Yankees are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of victory.

Even though the Yankees are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +154 odds on the Reds moneyline, providing an edge of 0.2%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Reds vs. Yankees

Here are the top MLB player props for Thursday's Reds vs. Yankees game.

Cincinnati Reds Prediction - Frankie Montas Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-150)

• Our top prop bet for the Reds is on Frankie Montas to record under 2.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 73.5%, giving us an edge of 13.5% on the -150 odds offered by BetMGM.

New York Yankees Prediction - Trent Grisham To Get an RBI (+275)

• Our best prop bet for the Yankees is on Trent Grisham to get an RBI.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 39.0%, providing an edge of 12.4% on the +275 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Reds vs. Yankees Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Reds vs. Yankees trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Stuart Fairchild to Record an RBI

Stuart Fairchild has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 appearances (50% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +250 (29% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Jonathan India to Record a Hit

Jonathan India has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 14 games (86%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of -225 (69%), also available at DraftKings.

Trent Grisham to Record an RBI

Trent Grisham has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +275 (27%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Frankie Montas of the Reds to record under 2.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 13.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Reds +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Reds vs. Yankees predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.