Reds vs. Rays Picks & Best Bets 28th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays will go up against the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action on Sunday at Tropicana Field, starting at 11:35 a.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Reds vs. Rays bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Rays have a 51% chance of defeating the Reds.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Reds vs. Rays Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Reds vs. Rays picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Reds vs. Rays Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, July 28th, 2024
- Game Time: 11:35 a.m. ET
- Location: Tropicana Field
- Run Line: Reds -1.5 / Rays +1.5
- Moneyline: Reds -118 / Rays +102
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (+100/-115)
Rays +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Rays have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Reds have a probability of 36%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -175 for the Rays +1.5, presenting a favorable 0.2% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at +100.
- Our analysis suggests a slightly higher likelihood that the total will go over 7.5 runs, which presents better value compared to betting on the under.
Reds vs. Rays Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cincinnati Reds at -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Tampa Bay Rays are available at +102 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Rays are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 51% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Rays also present the best betting value, with the odds of +102 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 0.7%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Reds vs. Rays
Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Reds vs. Rays matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Prediction - Hunter Greene Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-200)
- Our top prop bet for the Reds is on Hunter Greene to record under 18.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 77.9%, providing an edge of 11.3% over the -200 odds offered by BetMGM.
Tampa Bay Rays Prediction - Richie Palacios To Get a Hit (-110)
- Our best prop bet for the Rays is on Richie Palacios to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 62.7%, providing an edge of 10.3% on the -110 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Reds vs. Rays Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Reds vs. Rays trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Santiago Espinal to Record an RBI
Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 games (50% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +260 (28% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Jose Siri to Record a Hit
Jose Siri has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 13 appearances (69%). You can place a wager on him to get another one at odds of -115 (53%), also available at DraftKings.
Elly De La Cruz to Record an RBI
Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +225 (31%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Hunter Greene of the Reds to record under 18.5 outs, with an edge of 11.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Rays +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Reds vs. Rays predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.