Reds vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 25th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates will host the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action on Sunday at PNC Park, starting at 1:35 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Reds vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Pirates have a 51% chance of beating the Reds.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Reds vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Reds vs. Pirates picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Reds vs. Pirates Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, August 25th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
- Location: PNC Park
- Run Line: Reds -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
- Moneyline: Reds -108 / Pirates -105
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-115/+100)
Pirates +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Reds have a probability of 36%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -175 for the Pirates +1.5, presenting a favorable 0.1% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Under 8.5 @ +100 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at +100.
- Our analysis suggests a 49% likelihood of the 8.5-run total staying under, which presents better value compared to betting on the over.
Reds vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cincinnati Reds at -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at -105 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Pirates are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 51% chance of prevailing.
Additionally, the Pirates present the best betting value, with the odds of -105 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 0.2%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Reds vs. Pirates
Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Reds vs. Pirates game.
Cincinnati Reds Prediction - Nick Martinez Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+155)
- Our top prop bet for the Reds is on Nick Martinez to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 52.7%, giving us an edge of 13.5% the +155 odds offered by BetMGM.
Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Billy McKinney To Get a Hit (-130)
- Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Billy McKinney to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 67.3%, providing an edge of 10.8% on the -130 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Reds vs. Pirates Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Reds vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jared Triolo to Hit a Home Run
Jared Triolo has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 games (20% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +850 (11% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Spencer Steer to Hit a Home Run
Spencer Steer has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 15 games (20%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +700 (12%), also available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Nick Martinez of the Reds to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 13.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Reds vs. Pirates predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets tonight and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.