Reds vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 23rd Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates will go up against the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action on Friday at PNC Park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Reds vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Pirates have a 53% chance of defeating the Reds.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Reds vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Reds vs. Pirates picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Reds vs. Pirates Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, August 23rd, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: PNC Park
- Run Line: Reds -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
- Moneyline: Reds -102 / Pirates -112
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-110/-105)
Pirates +1.5 @ -190 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Reds have a probability of 36%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -190.
Total Runs Over 8 @ -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis indicates a 53% chance that the total will go over 8 runs, providing an edge of 0.5%.
Reds vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cincinnati Reds at -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at -112 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Pirates are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 53% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Pirates also present the best betting value, with the odds of -112 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Reds vs. Pirates
Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Reds vs. Pirates game.
Cincinnati Reds Prediction - Andrew Abbott Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (-135)
- Our top prop bet for the Reds is on Andrew Abbott to record under 17.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 67.9%, providing an edge of 10.5% the -135 odds offered by BetMGM.
Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Rowdy Tellez To Get a Hit (-145)
- Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Rowdy Tellez to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.2%, giving us an edge of 13.0% on the -145 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Reds vs. Pirates Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Reds vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
TJ Friedl to Record a Hit
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 18 appearances (61% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of -140 (58% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Rowdy Tellez of the Pirates to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Reds vs. Pirates predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.