Reds vs. Cubs Picks & Best Bets 28th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Chicago Cubs will meet the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action on Saturday at Wrigley Field, starting at 2:20 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Reds vs. Cubs bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Cubs have a 56% chance of defeating the Reds.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Reds vs. Cubs Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Reds vs. Cubs picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Reds vs. Cubs Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, September 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
• Location: Wrigley Field
• Run Line: Reds +1.5 / Cubs -1.5
• Moneyline: Reds +108 / Cubs -125
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 6.5 Runs (-118/+100)

Cubs -1.5 @ +180 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Cubs have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Cubs have a probability of 37%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +180 for the Cubs -1.5, providing a favorable 0.8% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 6.5 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 6.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -118.
• Our analysis shows a 65% probability that the total will go over 6.5 runs, providing an edge of 10.6%.

Reds vs. Cubs Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cincinnati Reds at +108 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Chicago Cubs are available at -125 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Cubs are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 56% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Cubs present the best betting value, with the odds of -125 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.5%.

Cincinnati Reds Prediction - Kyle Hendricks Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+125)

• Our top prop bet for the Reds is on Kyle Hendricks to record under 1.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 56.3%, giving us an edge of 11.9% on the +125 odds offered by DraftKings.

Chicago Cubs Prediction - Kyle Hendricks Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+125)

• Our best prop bet for the Cubs is on Kyle Hendricks to have under 1.5 walks allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 56.3%, providing an edge of 11.9% on the +125 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Reds vs. Cubs Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Reds vs. Cubs trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong to Hit a Home Run

Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 13 games (15% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +700 (12% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Noelvi Marte to Record a Hit

Noelvi Marte has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 13 appearances (69%). You can place a wager on him to get another one at odds of -180 (64%), available at DraftKings.

Elly De La Cruz to Hit a Home Run

Elly De La Cruz has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 12 games (17%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +500 (17%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kyle Hendricks of the Reds to record under 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 11.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Cubs -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Reds vs. Cubs predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.