Red Sox vs. Yankees Picks & Best Bets 5th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Yankees will go up against the Boston Red Sox in MLB action on Friday at Yankee Stadium, beginning at 7:05 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Red Sox vs. Yankees bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Yankees have a 55% chance of defeating the Red Sox.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Red Sox vs. Yankees picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, July 5th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
• Location: Yankee Stadium
• Run Line: Red Sox +1.5 / Yankees -1.5
• Moneyline: Red Sox +122 / Yankees -140
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-110/-108)

Red Sox +1.5 @ -170 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Red Sox have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Yankees have a probability of 36%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -170 for the Red Sox +1.5, presenting a favorable 1.5% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -110 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
• Our analysis shows a 51% probability that the total will go over 8 runs.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Boston Red Sox at +122 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the New York Yankees are available at -140 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Yankees are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 55% chance of prevailing.

Even though the Yankees are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +122 odds on the Red Sox moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Red Sox vs. Yankees

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Enmanuel Valdez To Get a Hit (+115)

• Our top prop bet for the Red Sox is on Enmanuel Valdez to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 58.0%, giving us an edge of 11.5% over the +115 odds offered by DraftKings.

New York Yankees Prediction - Juan Soto To Get an RBI (+190)

• Our best prop bet for the Yankees is on Juan Soto to get an RBI.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 46.5%, providing an edge of 12.0% on the +190 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Red Sox vs. Yankees trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Enmanuel Valdez to Record an RBI

Enmanuel Valdez has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 24 games (42% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +320 (24% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Gleyber Torres to Record an RBI

Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 12 appearances (50%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +205 (33%), also available at DraftKings.

Masataka Yoshida to Record a Hit

Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one hit in 8 of his last 12 appearances (67%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -125 (56%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Juan Soto of the Yankees to get an RBI as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Red Sox +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.