Red Sox vs. Orioles Picks & Best Bets 18th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Baltimore Orioles will host the Boston Red Sox in MLB action on Sunday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, beginning at 1:35 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to determine the best Red Sox vs. Orioles bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Orioles have a 53% chance of defeating the Red Sox.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Red Sox vs. Orioles picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, August 18th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
- Run Line: Red Sox +1.5 / Orioles -1.5
- Moneyline: Red Sox +115 / Orioles -122
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (-115/+100)
Red Sox +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Red Sox have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Orioles have a probability of 37%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -175.
Total Runs Under 9.5 @ +100 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at +100.
- Our analysis suggests a 49% chance that the total will stay under 9.5 runs, which presents greater value compared to betting on the over.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Boston Red Sox at +115 via BetMGM, whilst the Baltimore Orioles are available at -122 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Orioles are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 53% chance of victory.
Although the Orioles are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +115 odds on the Red Sox moneyline, providing an edge of 0%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Red Sox vs. Orioles
Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Red Sox vs. Orioles game.
Boston Red Sox Prediction - Kutter Crawford Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+120)
- Our top prop bet for the Red Sox is on Kutter Crawford to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 54.6%, providing an edge of 9.1% over the +120 odds offered by BetMGM.
Baltimore Orioles Prediction - Albert Suarez Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+120)
- Our best prop bet for the Orioles is on Albert Suarez to have over 4.5 strikeouts.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 54.8%, providing an edge of 9.3% on the +120 odds available at FanDuel.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Red Sox vs. Orioles trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jackson Holliday to Hit a Home Run
Jackson Holliday has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 12 games (33% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +700 (12% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Masataka Yoshida to Hit a Home Run
Masataka Yoshida has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 11 appearances (27%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +850 (11%), also available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Albert Suarez of the Orioles to record over 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 9.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Red Sox +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Red Sox vs. Orioles predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.
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