Red Sox vs. Orioles Picks & Best Bets 16th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Baltimore Orioles will host the Boston Red Sox in MLB action on Friday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, starting at 7:05 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Red Sox vs. Orioles bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Orioles have a 60% chance of beating the Red Sox.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Red Sox vs. Orioles picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, August 16th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
• Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
• Run Line: Red Sox +1.5 / Orioles -1.5
• Moneyline: Red Sox +154 / Orioles -180
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-120/+100)

Red Sox +1.5 @ -135 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Red Sox have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the Orioles have a probability of 42%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -135 for the Red Sox +1.5, presenting a favorable 0.7% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -120 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -120.
• Our analysis suggests a 53% likelihood of the 8.5-run total going over.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Boston Red Sox at +154 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Baltimore Orioles are available at -180 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Orioles are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 60% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Orioles are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +154 odds on the Red Sox moneyline, providing an edge of 0.8%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Red Sox vs. Orioles

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Red Sox vs. Orioles game.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Triston Casas To Get a HR (+850)

• Our top prop bet for the Red Sox is on Triston Casas to hit a home run.
• Our analysis projects him to have a probability of 17.7% of going yard, giving us an edge of 7.2% the +850 odds offered by BetMGM.

Baltimore Orioles Prediction - Gunnar Henderson To Get a HR (+650)

• Our best prop bet for the Orioles is on Gunnar Henderson to hit a home run.
• According to our analysis, there is a probability of 21.4% that he will go yard, providing an edge of 8.1% on the +650 odds available at Bet365.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Red Sox vs. Orioles trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Gunnar Henderson to Hit a Home Run

Gunnar Henderson has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 10 games (30% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +650 (13% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Anthony Santander to Hit a Home Run

Anthony Santander has hit at least one home run in 8 of his last 21 appearances (38%). You can place a wager on him to hit another one at odds of +400 (20%), also available at Bet365.

Connor Wong to Hit a Home Run

Connor Wong has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 20 games (15%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +1000 (9%), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Gunnar Henderson of the Orioles to hit a home run as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Red Sox +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Red Sox vs. Orioles predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.