Red Sox vs. Orioles Picks & Best Bets 15th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Baltimore Orioles will host the Boston Red Sox in MLB action on Thursday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, starting at 6:35 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Red Sox vs. Orioles bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Orioles have a 55% chance of defeating the Red Sox.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Red Sox vs. Orioles picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, August 15th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
• Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
• Run Line: Red Sox +1.5 / Orioles -1.5
• Moneyline: Red Sox +130 / Orioles -152
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-118/-102)

Red Sox +1.5 @ -165 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Red Sox have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Orioles have a probability of 36%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -165 for the Red Sox +1.5, providing a favorable 1.4% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -118.
• Our analysis suggests a 54% likelihood of the 8-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.2%.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Boston Red Sox at +130 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Baltimore Orioles are available at -152 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Orioles are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 55% chance of victory.

Even though the Orioles are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +130 odds on the Red Sox moneyline, providing an edge of 1.8%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Red Sox vs. Orioles

Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Nick Pivetta Over 15.5 Outs Recorded (+145)

• Our top prop bet for the Red Sox is on Nick Pivetta to record over 15.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 46.8%, giving us an edge of 6.0% on the +145 odds offered by BetMGM.

Baltimore Orioles Prediction - Zach Eflin Under 17.5 Outs (+130)

• Our best prop bet for the Orioles is on Zach Eflin to have under 17.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 57.3%, providing an edge of 13.8% on the +130 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Red Sox vs. Orioles trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Anthony Santander to Record an RBI

Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in 13 of his last 25 appearances (52% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +160 (38% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Wilyer Abreu to Hit a Home Run

Wilyer Abreu has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 16 games (25%). You can place a wager on him to hit another one at odds of +475 (17%), available at Bet365.

Ceddanne Rafaela to Hit a Home Run

Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 18 games (11%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +950 (10%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Zach Eflin of the Orioles to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 13.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Red Sox +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Red Sox vs. Orioles predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.