Red Sox vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 4th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will face the Boston Red Sox in MLB action on Wednesday at Citi Field, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Red Sox vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Mets have a 53% chance of beating the Red Sox.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Red Sox vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Red Sox vs. Mets picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Red Sox vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, September 4th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 / Mets +1.5
• Moneyline: Red Sox +100 / Mets -115
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-112/+100)

Mets +1.5 @ -190 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Red Sox have a probability of 35%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -190.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -112 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -112.
• Our analysis shows a 55% chance of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 2.3%.

Red Sox vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Boston Red Sox at +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the New York Mets are available at -115 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 53% chance of prevailing.

Additionally, the Mets present the best betting value, with the odds of -115 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Red Sox vs. Mets

Here are the top MLB player props for Wednesday's Red Sox vs. Mets game.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Nick Sogard To Get a Hit (+100)

• Our top prop bet for the Red Sox is on Nick Sogard to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 56.4%, providing an edge of 6.4% on the +100 odds offered by BetMGM.

New York Mets Prediction - Tylor Megill Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Tylor Megill to have under 5.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 58.8%, providing an edge of 13.4% on the +120 odds available at FanDuel.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Red Sox vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Red Sox vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Harrison Bader to Hit a Home Run

Harrison Bader has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 appearances (20% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +1300 (7% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Connor Wong to Hit a Home Run

Connor Wong has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 16 games (12%). You can place a bet on him to hit another one at odds of +1100 (8%), also available at Bet365.

Brandon Nimmo to Hit a Home Run

Brandon Nimmo has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 16 games (12%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +850 (11%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tylor Megill of the Mets to record under 5.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Mets +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Red Sox vs. Mets predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.