Red Sox vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 3rd Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will take on the Boston Red Sox in MLB action on Tuesday at Citi Field, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Red Sox vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Mets have a 59% chance of beating the Red Sox.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Red Sox vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Red Sox vs. Mets picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Red Sox vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, September 3rd, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Red Sox +1.5 / Mets -1.5
• Moneyline: Red Sox +120 / Mets -130
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-115/+100)

Mets -1.5 @ +155 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 41%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +155 for the Mets -1.5, providing a favorable 1.5% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis shows a 54% probability that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 0.6%.

Red Sox vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Boston Red Sox at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the New York Mets are available at -130 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 59% chance of victory.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Mets also present the best betting value, with the odds of -130 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 2.7%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Red Sox vs. Mets

Here are the best MLB player props for Tuesday's Red Sox vs. Mets matchup.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Rafael Devers To Get a HR (+650)

• Our top prop bet for the Red Sox is on Rafael Devers to hit a home run.
• Our analysis projects him to have a probability of 18.6% of going yard, providing an edge of 5.3% on the +650 odds offered by BetMGM.

New York Mets Prediction - David Peterson Under 16.5 Outs (-110)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on David Peterson to have under 16.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 66.3%, providing an edge of 13.9% on the -110 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Red Sox vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Red Sox vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Masataka Yoshida to Record a Hit

Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 20 appearances (75% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of -165 (62% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Connor Wong to Hit a Home Run

Connor Wong has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 16 appearances (12%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +850 (11%), available at Bet365.

Masataka Yoshida to Hit a Home Run

Masataka Yoshida has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 23 games (13%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +1100 (8%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing David Peterson of the Mets to record under 16.5 outs, with an edge of 13.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Mets -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Red Sox vs. Mets predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.