Red Sox vs. Marlins Picks & Best Bets 3rd Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Miami Marlins will go up against the Boston Red Sox in MLB action on Wednesday at loanDepot park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Red Sox vs. Marlins bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Red Sox have a 51% chance of defeating the Marlins.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Red Sox vs. Marlins picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Red Sox vs. Marlins Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, July 3rd, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: loanDepot park
- Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 / Marlins +1.5
- Moneyline: Red Sox -130 / Marlins +115
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-115/+100)
Marlins +1.5 @ -150 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Red Sox have a probability of 39%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -150 for the Marlins +1.5, presenting a favorable 1.1% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -115.
- Our analysis indicates a 55% chance that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 1.2%.
Red Sox vs. Marlins Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Boston Red Sox at -130 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Miami Marlins are available at +115 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Red Sox are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 51% chance of coming out on top.
Even though the Red Sox are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +115 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 2.2%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Red Sox vs. Marlins
Here are the top MLB player props for Wednesday's Red Sox vs. Marlins game.
Boston Red Sox Prediction - Masataka Yoshida To Get a Hit (-165)
- Our top prop bet for the Red Sox is on Masataka Yoshida to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 74.0%, providing an edge of 11.8% on the -165 odds offered by DraftKings.
Miami Marlins Prediction - Trevor Rogers Under 16.5 Outs (-125)
- Our best prop bet for the Marlins is on Trevor Rogers to have under 16.5 outs.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 69.2%, providing an edge of 13.7% on the -125 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Red Sox vs. Marlins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Rafael Devers to Record an RBI
Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in 9 of his last 14 games (64% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +165 (38% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Nick Gordon to Record a Hit
Nick Gordon has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 10 appearances (90%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -185 (65%), also available at DraftKings.
David Hamilton to Record an RBI
David Hamilton has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 16 games (38%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +320 (24%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Trevor Rogers of the Marlins to record under 16.5 outs, with an edge of 13.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.
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