Red Sox vs. Astros Picks & Best Bets 21st Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Houston Astros will face the Boston Red Sox in MLB action on Wednesday at Minute Maid Park, starting at 2:10 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Red Sox vs. Astros bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Astros have a 56% chance of beating the Red Sox.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Red Sox vs. Astros Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Red Sox vs. Astros picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Red Sox vs. Astros Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, August 21st, 2024
• Game Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Minute Maid Park
• Run Line: Red Sox +1.5 / Astros -1.5
• Moneyline: Red Sox +120 / Astros -135
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-114/+100)

Red Sox +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Red Sox have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 38%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -175.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -114 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -114.
• Our analysis indicates a 54% likelihood that the total will go over 8.5 runs, providing an edge of 1.1%.

Red Sox vs. Astros Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Boston Red Sox at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the Houston Astros are available at -135 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Astros are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 56% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Astros also present the best betting value, with the odds of -135 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Red Sox vs. Astros

Here are the top MLB player props for Wednesday's Red Sox vs. Astros matchup.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Cooper Criswell Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (+110)

• Our top prop bet for the Red Sox is on Cooper Criswell to record under 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 53.0%, giving us an edge of 5.4% over the +110 odds offered by BetMGM.

Houston Astros Prediction - Justin Verlander Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+130)

• Our best prop bet for the Astros is on Justin Verlander to have over 5.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 51.2%, giving us an edge of 7.7% on the +130 odds available at FanDuel.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Red Sox vs. Astros Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Red Sox vs. Astros trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Connor Wong to Record a Hit

Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 21 games (67% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of -140 (58% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Rob Refsnyder to Hit a Home Run

Rob Refsnyder has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 17 appearances (18%). You can place a bet on him to hit another one at odds of +750 (12%), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Justin Verlander of the Astros to record over 5.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 7.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Red Sox +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Red Sox vs. Astros predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.