Red Sox vs. Astros Picks & Best Bets 19th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Houston Astros will meet the Boston Red Sox in MLB action on Monday at Minute Maid Park, starting at 8:10 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Red Sox vs. Astros bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Astros have a 61% chance of defeating the Red Sox.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Red Sox vs. Astros Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Red Sox vs. Astros picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Red Sox vs. Astros Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, August 19th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Minute Maid Park
- Run Line: Red Sox +1.5 / Astros -1.5
- Moneyline: Red Sox +124 / Astros -138
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-110/-105)
Astros -1.5 @ +150 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Astros have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 40%.
- BetMGM offers odds of +150 for the Astros -1.5, providing a favorable 0.2% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Under 8 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher likelihood that the total will stay under 8 runs, which presents better value compared to betting on the over.
Red Sox vs. Astros Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Boston Red Sox at +124 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Houston Astros are available at -138 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Astros are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 61% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Astros also present the best betting value, with the odds of -138 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 2.7%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Red Sox vs. Astros
Here are the best MLB player props for Monday's Red Sox vs. Astros matchup.
Boston Red Sox Prediction - Tanner Houck Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-175)
- Our top prop bet for the Red Sox is on Tanner Houck to record under 18.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 72.5%, providing an edge of 8.9% on the -175 odds offered by BetMGM.
Houston Astros Prediction - Yordan Alvarez To Get an RBI (+145)
- Our best prop bet for the Astros is on Yordan Alvarez to get an RBI.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 47.0%, giving us an edge of 6.1% on the +145 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Red Sox vs. Astros Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Red Sox vs. Astros trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Jon Singleton to Hit a Home Run
Jon Singleton has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 appearances (20% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +750 (12% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Victor Caratini to Record a Hit
Victor Caratini has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 20 games (65%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -185 (65%), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tanner Houck of the Red Sox to record under 18.5 outs, with an edge of 8.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Astros -1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Red Sox vs. Astros predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.